The Los Angeles Rams got demolished on Sunday Night Football against the Philadelphia Eagles, and they have to lick their wounds and get ready for a road game against the New Orleans Saints. Coming off their bye week, the Saints are 2.5-point home underdogs at BetMGM in this game as they seek their third straight win under interim head coach Darren Rizzi. Will the Rams get back on track in a wide-open NFC West? Or can the Saints maintain momentum? Let’s dive into the matchup and find out.
Rams vs Saints Odds Week 13
Rams vs Saints, Dec. 1, 4:05 pm ET
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Rams | -2.5 (-115) | -150 | O49 (-110) |
| New Orleans Saitns | +2.5 (-105) | +125 | U49 (-110) |
Odds as of Nov. 28 at BetMGM
Rams vs Saints Picks - Week 13
Rams -2.5 (-115) at BetMGM
The Rams ran into a dominant Eagles defense on Sunday night, but almost every offense in the NFL would struggle against that unit right now. This game is an excellent bounce back opportunity against a Saints defense with plenty of holes. Kyren Williams will get things started on the ground against a New Orleans defense that ranks 31st against the run by DVOA, especially behind an offensive line that has gotten healthier in recent weeks.
When the Rams throw the ball, Matthew Stafford will cook this Saints defense that ranks 24th in PFF’s coverage grades and 28th in pass-rush win rate. Stafford has 13 touchdowns to just two interceptions from a clean pocket with an 88.5 PFF passing grade. Under pressure, he has two passing touchdowns to five interceptions with a 28.3 PFF passing grade. Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua should cook against this overmatched Saints secondary.
The Saints got Erik McCoy back at center, bolstering the interior of their offensive line, but their tackles have still struggled to maintain consistency this season. New Orleans ranks 31st in pass-block win rate, and it runs into a Rams’ pass rush that has been dominant at times this season thanks to elite play from rookie edge rusher Jared Verse. Consider a bet on Verse to record a sack this week.
Derek Carr’s passing production has dropped off immensely under pressure throughout his career, and he’ll be without the help of Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed in this matchup as the Saints remain undermanned at the skill positions. The Rams are the healthier, better-coached, more talented football team, and I expect them to win on Sunday.
Rams vs Saints Prop Pick
Puka Nacua Over 80.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at BetMGM
When healthy this year, Puka Nacua has been downright unstoppable. Even against an elite Philadelphia defense last week, Nacua finished with nine catches for 117 yards. He’s cleared this receiving yardage line in all four games where he’s played 50+% of snaps this year, averaging 111 yards per game in those matchups. In those four games, he’s averaging 3.7 yards per route run and a 38% target rate per route run - both would lead the NFL.
Due to injuries in the Saints secondary, Alontae Taylor has kicked out from the slot to the boundary. That means he’ll see plenty of Nacua here, and Taylor ranks 120th out of 120 qualified cornerbacks in PFF’s coverage grades this season. Nacua has the third-best matchup advantage in the league this week per Fantasy Points Data’s WR/CB tracking, and he should crush it once again.
Rams vs Saints Betting Trends
- Matthew Stafford has thrown for multiple touchdowns in four of his last five games
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling has 196 receiving yards and three touchdowns over his last two games
- Puka Nacua has 90+ receiving yards in all four games with 50+% of snaps this season
