We have a UFC 301 main event. Flyweight champ Alexandre Pantoja, the -280 betting favorite, will make his second title defense, this time against Steve Erceg, the +210 underdog.
The Pantoja vs Erceg bout takes place May 4 in Rio de Janeiro, giving "The Cannibal" a hometown edge.
Pantoja vs Erceg Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Alexandre Pantoja | -280 |
| Steve Erceg | +210 |
Odds as of Mar. 19
Our odds calculator suggests Pantoja's -280 status awards him a 73.68% implied chance of victory, with a $100 bet paying out $135.71. At +210 odds, Erceg gets a 32.26% chance and a $100 bet cashes $310.
How To Watch UFC 301
- Date/Time: May 4, 6 p.m. ET
- Location: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
- Arena: Jeunesse Arena
- Where to Watch: ESPN+, PPV
How To Bet Pantoja vs Erceg at UFC 301
You're not wrong if you think this is a strange headliner. Pantoja would always fight in Brazil, but his opponent was undetermined. The 125-pound division isn't super deep, so after "Astroboy" Erceg scored a heavy knockout, he received his abbreviated shot.
But does Erceg have a chance after just three UFC wins? I doubt it.
The Aussie has crazy quick hands and a boatload of pre-UFC submissions, but Pantoja is a different challenge. The Brazilian possesses fantastic offensive jiu-jitsu, which Erceg will struggle to defend.
Pantoja has also never been stopped in his UFC career, and that's what it will take for Erceg to pry the belt from the champ.
Pantoja vs Erceg Picks
Bet on Pantoja to secure his sixth-straight victory, this time by submission.
