Ohio State will welcome a Bowling Green squad in Week 1 that is coming off a 10-4 season that saw them win the MAC. There has been major turnover in the ranks of BGSU, however, and the Falcons will be in tough to upset a Buckeyes crew they have never beaten.
- The Buckeyes have never lost against another Ohio team in the modern era.
- BGSU had an identical 10-4 SU and ATS record in 2015.
- Despite going 12-1 last season, the Buckeyes had a 6-7 ATS record.
The spread in this one is pretty big but our computer is predicting Bowling Green to put up a better fight than expected by oddsmakers. The Falcons had a prolific offense last year that saw them score 42.2 points per game, the fifth-most in the nation. This offensive explosion could very well have been an anomaly as BGSU averaged just 28.6 points per game the year before.
Bowling Green shipped their head coach to Syracuse and lost their starting quarterback to the transfer market so it’s not likely they repeat the success they found in 2015.
The Buckeyes have lost just two games in the last two seasons and so it’s hard to see them losing to a team they beat 35-7 in their last meeting. If OSU drops their first game, it’s going to be a long season for Urban Meyer in a competitive Big Ten.
Ohio State is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games at home so you may want to take the BGSU points here.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Betting fans going with the Ohio State Buckeyes in this game found them listed as -27-point favorites on the betting odds menu at Sportsbook earlier in the week.
Odds Shark prediction models pick the Buckeyes to win this game on Saturday 43-31. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.
Bowling Green Falcons vs Ohio State Buckeyes Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Bowling Green Falcons will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Saturday, as they are 0-0 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Ohio State Buckeyes are 0-0 ATS. Bowling Green is 0-0 against the over under total, while Ohio State is 0-0 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Ohio State vs Bowling Green injuries news.
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Ohio State Buckeyes at No. 5 and the Bowling Green Falcons at No. 4 heading into this contest.
Statistical Matchup
The game also pits Ohio State's No. -ranked offense, averaging PPG, against a Bowling Green defense that ranks No. this week at PPG. The Ohio State aerial game is averaging yards per game, more than the Bowling Green Falcons secondary allows through the air, YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Bowling Green Falcons own the league's No. 47-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 157.63 yards per game when on the road. Ohio State, on the other hand, rates No. 40 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Bowling Green didn't make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Eagles as Ga Southern blasted them 58-27 in Week P action.
In their last game, Ohio State got a 149-yard performance from Ezekiel Elliott as a key part of its 44-28 win over Notre Dame.
- Bowling Green is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
- Bowling Green is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
- Bowling Green is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
- Ohio State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
- Ohio State is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Ohio State's last 12 games
- Ohio State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Bowling Green home to North Dakota, Saturday, September 10th
Ohio State home to Tulsa, Saturday, September 10th
