The embattled New York Jets and their rookie quarterback are unbeaten as they head to New England as big underdogs in a Thursday night showdown with the Patriots.
The Jets are 13-point underdogs to a New England team that struggled to beat the Buffalo Bills, a team also led by a rookie quarterback. The Patriots have covered the spread in only two of their last seven games as double-digit favorites.
Jets’ quarterback Geno Smith led a last-minute game-winning drive against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but was not overly impressive in his NFL debut. Tom Brady also led a late game-winning drive to help the Patriots come from behind to nip the Bills.
The Jets are 1-3 ATS against the Patriots in the last two seasons. The Jets have covered the spread in their last three games as double-digit underdogs.
Totals bettors have profited on this matchup in recent years as the past 7 meetings all played OVER the total. The Pats have not been great as a big home favorite, as they are just 6-16 ATS in 22 games.
View NY Jets vs New England Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
Sportsbooks, including Sportsbook, had set the Patriots as 10-point favorites on the Sportsbook line for this contest. The total was hovering around 45.5 earlier in the week at Sportsbook.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 6-rated Patriots and the No. 10-rated Jets in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 22-21 win for the Patriots on Thursday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New England's No. 17-ranked offense (23 PPG) against a Jets defense that ranks No. 7 at 17 PPG. The Patriots passing attack has averaged 273 yards per game, more than the Jets give up through the air (185 YPG on average).
In their last action, New York was a 18-17 Sportsbook at home against the Buccaneers. They covered the 4-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (35) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. In their last game, the Jets were Week 1 Sportsbooks, coming out on top of the Buccaneers by a score of 18-17.
The Patriots were a 23-21 Sportsbook in their most recent outing on the road against the Bills. They failed to cover the 10-point spread as favorites, while the total score (44) made Sportsbooks of UNDER bettors. Shane Vereen tore up the turf for 101 rushing yards in the latest Patriots game, a 23-21 win over the Bills at Ralph Wilson Stadium.
New York Jets Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing within the division are 4-6
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the division are 10-0
A few Jets at Patriots trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
New England is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Next up:
NY Jets home to Buffalo, Sunday, September 22
New England home to Tampa Bay, Sunday, September 22
