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NFL Week 6 Betting Primer

Joe Osborne Published on: Oct 15, 2016 4:30 PM ET

Another week of NFL action is upon us and it's a great week for bettors to clean up. All you need is the tools to do it, and it just so has it that I've compiled a list of gold nuggets for every Week 6 game.

Underdogs continue to cash in as they've come out on top in four of the five weeks so far, going 40-33-4 ATS on the season. Betting the OVER has been even more profitable, as it's gone 42-33-2. I do expect those numbers to even out a bit and this could be the week.

So let's get after it, let's chase that paper and let's prove to our psychiatrists that they've been wrong about us the whole time. Enjoy Week 6!

49ers at Bills
  • The 49ers are 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as road underdogs. Eight of those losses were by 10 points or more.
  • Since 2010, the 49ers are 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS on the road vs AFC and NFC east teams.
  • The Bills haven’t been favored by a touchdown or more since 2010.
  • The Bills are 4-7 ATS in their last 11 games as home favorites.
  • The Bills are 1-9 SU and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after consecutive wins.
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of the 49ers' last 10 games on the road.
  • The 49ers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after winning the previous game in a matchup.
Bengals at Patriots
  • The Patriots are 11-2 SU in their last 13 home games. Each of those 11 wins was by seven points or more. Six of the wins were by 14 points or more.
  • The Patriots haven't lost consecutive home games since 2008.
  • The last time the Bengals won in New England was in 1986.
  • Tom Brady is 5-1 SU in his career vs the Bengals with 12 TDs and 3 INTs.
  • The Bengals have allowed 11 passing TDs this season — sixth-most in the NFL.
  • The Bengals are 1-5 SU in their last six games against the Patriots.
  • The Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Patriots.
  • The Patriots are 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games at home after a loss in their most recent home game.
  • The Bengals are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games on the road.
Steelers at Dolphins
  • Each of Pittsburgh’s four wins this season has been by at least eight points. Three of those wins were by 18 points or more.
  • Pittsburgh leads the NFL with 15 TD receptions.
  • The Steelers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games on the road vs teams with a losing record.
  • The Steelers are 5-1 SU in their last six games against the Dolphins.
  • The Steelers are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games on the road after a loss on the road.
  • The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite of 7.5 or more.
Browns at Titans
  • In their last four games as a favorite, the Titans are 1-3 SU and 0-3-1 ATS.
  • The Browns are 5-2 ATS in their last seven on the road vs teams with losing records.
  • The Titans are 1-9-2 ATS in their last 12 games at home vs teams with losing records.
  • The Browns are 5-2 SU in their last seven games against the Titans.
  • The Titans are 0-6 SU in their last six games at home after consecutive road games.
  • The Titans are 3-19-2 ATS in their last 24 games at home.
  • The Browns are 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games on the road.
  • Marcus Mariota has a career 1-7 SU record at home with 11 TDs and 12 INTs.
  • The Titans are averaging 148.6 rushing yards per game — second-best in NFL.
Chiefs at Raiders
  • Alex Smith has a 7-1 career record vs the Raiders with 18 TDs and 3 INTs.
  • The Raiders' four wins this season have come by a combined 12 points.
  • Four of the last five games between these teams in Oakland have been decided by double digits.
  • KC won in Oakland 34-20 last season.
  • The Chiefs are 10-3 SU and ATS in their last 13 games on the road against the Raiders.
  • The Raiders are 0-6 ATS in their last six games at home.
  • The Chiefs are 6-0 SU in their last six games against their division.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Amari Cooper had just 89 combined yards and no TDs in two games vs KC last season.
Cowboys at Packers
  • Dallas leads the NFL in rushing yards per game with 155.2. Green Bay has allowed the fewest rushing yards per game this season with 42.8 and has allowed just one rushing touchdown.
  • Green Bay beat Dallas at home last season 28-7.
  • The Cowboys are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Packers.
  • The Packers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games in October.
  • The Cowboys are 6-2 SU in their last eight games after winning as an underdog.
  • The Cowboys are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with winning records.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Aaron Rodgers has six TD passes and two INTs in two home games this season. In his career vs Dallas, he has 7 TDs and 0 INTs.
Eagles at Redskins
  • Three of the last four games between these teams have been decided by three points.
  • The Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against the Redskins.
  • The Redskins are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last eight games as underdog.
  • The Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games on the road after an ATS loss on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Eagles' last six games on the road.
  • The Eagles are 7-2 SU and ATS in their last nine games in Week 6.
  • *Fantasy Alert* In the last game between these teams in December, Kirk Cousins threw for 365 yards and four TDs. In his career vs the Eagles, he has eight TDs and one INT.
Falcons at Seahawks
  • In their last nine games after a bye week, Seattle in 2-6-1 ATS. They’re 1-5 ATS in their last six at home directly after a bye.
  • Of Seattle's last 13 wins at home, 10 were by seven points or more.
  • The Seahawks have allowed just one receiving TD this season, while Atlanta has allowed 14.
  • The Falcons are 4-1 SU in their last five games against the Seahawks.
  • The Seahawks are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 6.
  • The Seahawks are 25-5 SU in their last 30 games at home.
  • The Falcons are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last eight games after winning as an underdog.
  • *Fantasy Alert* In three road games this season, Julio Jones only has 151 yards.
Jaguars at Bears
  • In their last six games after a bye week, the Jaguars are 5-1 ATS.
  • The Bears are 2-10 SU and ATS in their last 10 games.
  • Of Chicago’s last seven wins, only two were by five points or more.
  • The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Bears.
  • The Jaguars are 1-17 SU in their last 18 games on the road.
  • The Jaguars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after winning as an underdog in their most recent games.
Panthers at Saints
  • The Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after a bye. They’re 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four home games in the week after a bye.
  • Carolina won both games over the Saints last year by a combined eight points.
  • The Panthers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games on the road against the Saints.
  • The Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against their division.
  • The Panthers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games on the road.
  • *Fantasy Alert* In two games vs the Saints last season, Cam Newton had seven TD passes with just one INT. He threw for over 300 yards in each game.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Brandin Cooks has scored at least one TD in five of his last six home games.
Rams at Lions
  • The Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Lions.
  • The Rams have scored 18 or fewer points in seven of their last 10 road games.
  • The Lions are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as favorite.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Rams' last 11 games as underdog.
  • The Rams are 1-8 SU in their last nine games on the road after a win in their most recent road game.
Ravens at Giants
  • The Giants’ last six home games have all been decided by five points or less.
  • The Ravens are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games against the Giants.
  • The Giants are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games at home after consecutive ATS losses at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Giants' last nine games at home.
  • The Ravens are 23-7-2 ATS in their last 32 games on the road after an ATS loss in their most recent road game.
  • The Ravens are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games after losing as a favorite.
Colts at Texans
  • The Texans still don’t have a rushing TD this season.
  • The Colts are 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games against the Texans.
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Colts' last 11 games against the Texans.
  • The Texans are 7-2 SU and ATS in their last nine games at home.
  • The Texans are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games against teams with losing records.
  • The Colts are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games against their division.
  • *Fantasy Alert* In six career games vs the Colts, DeAndre Hopkins has 0 TDs. In 10 career night games he has just 1 TD.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Ty Hilton has six TDs in eight career games vs Houston.
Jets at Cardinals
  • The Cardinals are 0-6 ATS in their last six games on Monday.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Cardinals' last five games on Monday.
  • The last time Arizona lost two straight home games was in 2012.
  • Since  2011 the Jets are 1-7 SU and ATS vs AFC and NFC west teams.
  • The Jets have allowed 68.4 rushing yards per game this season — second-best in the NFL.
  • The Jets are 5-0 SU in their last five games against the Cardinals.
  • The Cardinals are 8-0 SU in their last eight games at home after a loss in their most recent home game.
  • The Cardinals are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games at home.
  • The Jets are 4-1 SU in their last five games after consecutive losses.
  • The Jets are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games after an ATS loss.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Jets' last six games on the road.
  • *Fantasy Alert* Larry Fitzgerald has six TDs in his last six home games.

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