After getting blasted in Detroit, the Chicago Bears return home to host the undefeated New Orleans Saints. The point spread opened at Pick ‘em.
The Saints pulled away from the Miami Dolphins on Monday night, behind four touchdown passes from Drew Brees. The return of head coach Sean Payton appears to have turned the Saints back into Super Bowl contenders.
Chicago QB Jay Cutler threw three interceptions in the Bears’ 40-32 loss to Detroit, which wasn’t as close as the final score indicated. While the Bears’ defense has been opportunistic creating turnovers, it has struggled against the pass. Chicago ranks 23rd in pass defense, not a good matchup against Brees and the Saints.
The past 5 meetings between the Saints and Bears at Soldier Field played OVER total (since 2000). Chicago has struggled at home lately, going 1-5-2 ATS in their past eight home games.
Meanwhile, the Saints won and covered three straight as small road dog.
View New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears Odds and Stats.
Chicago opened as 2.5-point underdogs at shops such as Sportsbook but the line had moved considerably during the week, while the NFL total was set at 47 for over under betting at Sportsbook.
It's a betting matchup between the No. 10-rated Bears and the No. 8-ranked Saints, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 36-26 result in favor of the Saints.
In their last action, New Orleans was a 38-17 Sportsbook at home against the Dolphins. They covered the 7-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (55) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Jay Cutler's 317-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Detroit earned a 40-32 win over Chicago on Sunday at Ford Field.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Chicago's No. 3-ranked offense, averaging 31.75 PPG, against a Saints defense that ranks No. 5 this week at 13.75 PPG. The Bears aerial game is averaging 240.75 yards per game, more than the Saints secondary allows through the air, 192.25 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Saints feature the league's No. 19-rated road run defense, allowing 119.5 yards per game. Chicago, meanwhile, ranks No. 19 in rushing offense at home.
A few Saints at Bears trends to consider:
New Orleans is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Chicago
New Orleans is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 2-4-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Next up:
New Orleans at New England, Sunday, October 13th
Chicago at New York, Thursday, October 10th
