It's the perfect time to look at 2025 Super Bowl odds, as the NFL regular season begins.
After winning the title last year, Patrick Mahomes' Chiefs remain the favorites in Super Bowl odds this season, neck-and-neck with the 49ers. But maybe we'll get some new teams in the big game this year?
Here's a complete breakdown of early 2025 Super Bowl odds for you to wager on:
Who Is Favored To Win Super Bowl 59?
The Chiefs and 49ers remain in the top spots for Super Bowl 59 odds, but there are some other teams moving up behind them. With a healthy Aaron Rodgers, hype is building for the Jets this year:
Equipo | Cuotas |
---|---|
Kansas City Chiefs | +450 |
San Francisco 49ers | +550 |
Baltimore Ravens | +1000 |
Detroit Lions | +1000 |
Philadelphia Eagles | +1000 |
Cincinnati Bengals | +1400 |
Houston Texans | +1600 |
Buffalo Bills | +1800 |
NY Jets | +1800 |
Dallas Cowboys | +2200 |
Odds as of Septiembre 7th, 2024 14:30pm EDT. |
Super Bowl Odds Movement
A variety of things can cause Super Bowl odds movement, including injuries, team performance, or transactions. If you look at 2025 Super Bowl odds as the season nears, it's clear bookmakers expect some significant change in the NFL landscape this year. Here are the biggest movers:
Riser: New York Jets
The Jets opened the offseason at +4000 to win the title, now they've quietly climbed the Super Bowl odds up to +1800.
New York football fans do this every year, talking themselves into a championship team in August. But, maybe this year’s team is actually different?
By yards against per game, the Jets had the second-best defense in football last year, with Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams staying elite and young guys like Jermaine Johnson stepping up. But, the offense was a real issue. Passing the QB play from Zach Wilson to Trevor Semien to Tim Boyle (after Aaron Rodgers went down), things got ugly.
But, with a reshaped offensive line and a healthy Rodgers, I've got hope here. If the Jets can be even average on offense, this is a playoff team. Any better and they're a legit Super Bowl contender.
Faller: Minnesota Vikings
There's just no reason to be excited about the Minnesota Vikings this year. Every other team in the NFC North is on the up — Green Bay, Detroit, and Chicago are all playoff candidates this season. But the Vikings have no hope.
After losing QB Kirk Cousins and DE Danielle Hunter in the offseason, I don't see much upside in the Vikings, and the books agree. The Vikings opened the offseason at +4000 in Super Bowl odds (tied for 16th) and now they're downgraded to +8000 (23rd).
The big problem here is the quarterback and an overall lack of talent. It looks like the Vikings plan to enter the season with Sam Darnold as QB1 (after losing JJ McCarthy for the year) and I can guarantee you that's going to be a problem. This roster isn't good enough to get by with sub-par QB play, and Darnold has shown us nothing but that.
Super Bowl 2025 Odds Best Bet: Eagles
The Eagles were a disaster down the stretch last year, but I really like what they did this offseason.
For starters, they brought a bevy of new coaches, including DC Vic Fangio and OC Kellen Moore. Those two new coordinators alone should help get Philly back on track.
The Eagles' moves in free agency should help, too. The Saquon Barkley signing will get all the headlines, but bringing in DE Bryce Huff and depth LB Zack Baun will help elevate the defense, once again. Also, the Eagles seem to kill the NFL Draft every year, and this year's selection show didn't seem much different with headliners like Cooper DeJean and Quinyon Mitchell.
This is a team that everybody knows has the talent to compete for a Super Bowl. With new coaches and some minor roster tweaks, I think they're back there for 2025.
Super Bowl 2025 Value Bet: Jaguars
I was all over the Jaguars last year and, frankly, they let me down. But, I'm talking myself back in on Jacksonville given where they are in the odds right now. They shored-up the receiving core with Gabe Davis and Brian Thomas and made important additions on the defensive line.
But, any Jags bet is really buying into the upside of Trevor Lawrence. Jacksonville is banking on some more growth in Lawrence after giving him a long-term contract, and I think there are a few more strides for the young QB, too.
Exact Super Bowl Matchup Odds
We've finally got Super Bowl 59 exact matchup odds out, and the top teams are exactly where you think they'd be. If I'm looking for some value off the board, I don't hate a Ravens vs Eagles Super Bowl bet at +4500.
Really, I just think the Jags have so much more upside than the Steelers, Colts, and Seahawks teams they're sitting around in these odds.
Teams | Odds |
---|---|
Chiefs vs 49ers | +1300 |
Ravens vs 49ers | +1900 |
Bengals vs 49ers | +2500 |
Chiefs vs Eagles | +2500 |
Chiefs vs Lions | +2500 |
Bills vs 49ers | +2500 |
Chiefs vs Cowboys | +3000 |
Texans vs 49ers | +3000 |
Odds Shark's NFL Picks & Odds
Making A Betting Strategy For Super Bowl 59
Crafting a winning Super Bowl betting strategy begins long before the first kickoff of the regular season. Assessing offseason changes, coaching adjustments, and previous performances are crucial factors.
You're likely to get the best betting value on a team if you place a bet before the season, but there are times in the regular season and even playoffs when you can still place a smart bet. Keep an eye on the odds, as they fluctuate throughout the year due to injuries, trades, and team performance. Acting swiftly when you spot favorable odds ensures maximizing potential winnings, as odds can shift dramatically over time at NFL sportsbooks.
The general key to crafting a betting strategy for Super Bowl odds is comparing a team's likelihood of winning in your mind to where they are on the odds board. Finding a team much more likely to win than the odds indicate is the smartest bet you can make. This strategy holds true for most futures odds, including NFL award odds.
Last 10 Super Bowl Champions
Year | Team | Preseason Odds | Result |
---|---|---|---|
2024 (58) | Kansas City Chiefs | +600 | Chiefs 25 - 49ers 22 |
2023 (57) | Kansas City Chiefs | +1000 | Chiefs 38 - Eagles 35 |
2022 (56) | Los Angeles Rams | +1200 | Rams 23 - Bengals 20 |
2021 (55) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1000 | Buccaneers 31 - Chiefs 9 |
2020 (54) | Kansas City Chiefs | +600 | Chiefs 31 - 49ers 20 |
2019 (53) | New England Patriots | +600 | Patriots 13 - Rams 3 |
2018 (52) | Philadelphia Eagles | +4000 | Eagles 41 - Patriots 33 |
2017 (51) | New England Patriots | +600 | Patriots 34 - Falcons 28 |
2016 (50) | Denver Broncos | +900 | Broncos 24 - Panthers 10 |
2015 (49) | New England Patriots | +650 | Patriots 28 - Seahawks 24 |
The Kansas City Chiefs have been a powerhouse lately, winning three of the last five Super Bowls. Led by coach Andy Reid and QB Patrick Mahomes, you can expect the Chiefs at the top of these odds as long as they're around.
The biggest recent Super Bowl underdog was the 2017 Eagles, who beat Brady’s Patriots in the final. They even did so after their No. 1 QB, Carson Wentz, went down with an injury late in the season. Backup Nick Foles took over under center and earned Super Bowl MVP honors to deliver great preseason odds value to Philly’s Super Bowl 52 bettors.
NFL Teams with the Most Super Bowls
Team | Super Bowl Wins | Super Bowl Appearances | Last Win |
---|---|---|---|
New England Patriots | 6 | 11 | 2018 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 8 | 2008 |
San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 7 | 1994 |
Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 8 | 1995 |
Green Bay Packers | 4 | 5 | 2010 |
New York Giants | 4 | 5 | 2011 |
Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 6 | 2024 |
Washington Commanders | 3 | 5 | 1991 |
Denver Broncos | 3 | 8 | 2015 |
Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 5 | 1983 |
Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 2 | 2012 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2 | 2 | 2020 |
Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 4 | 2006 |
Miami Dolphins | 2 | 5 | 1973 |
New Orleans Saints | 1 | 1 | 2009 |
New York Jets | 1 | 1 | 1968 |
Chicago Bears | 1 | 2 | 1985 |
Philadelphia Eagles | 1 | 4 | 2017 |
Los Angeles Rams | 1 | 3 | 2021 |
Seattle Seahawks | 1 | 3 | 2013 |
The Steelers and Patriots dominate the history of the Super Bowl. They’ve appeared in 19 of the 57 Super Bowls, winning six each. There is some decent NFL parity, though, with 20 teams claiming a title all-time.
NFL Teams that have never won a Super Bowl
The 12 teams that have never won a Super Bowl are:
- Buffalo Bills (four Super Bowl appearances)
- Minnesota Vikings (4)
- Atlanta Falcons (2)
- Carolina Panthers (2)
- Cincinnati Bengals (2)
- Arizona Cardinals (1)
- Tennessee Titans (1)
- Los Angeles Chargers (1)
- Cleveland Browns (0)
- Detroit Lions (0)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (0)
- Houston Texans (0)
Super Bowl Betting Trends
Trends aren't the only thing that dictates future success, but they can give insight into some teams and details both bettors and sportsbooks often overlook. Check out these Super Bowl trends below or weekly NFL betting trends for game-to-game data.
- 8 of the last 12 Super Bowls have been won by an AFC team.
- 13 of the last 16 Super Bowl-winning QBs have been at least 27 at the time of their victory.
- No rookie QB has ever won the Super Bowl as a starter.
- Cheap out at RB: The rushing leader of nine of the last 11 Super Bowl Champs has made $2.5 million or less base salary.
- A quarterback has won Super Bowl MVP 15 of the last 23 years.
Super Bowl Odds FAQ
What other options are there to bet on?
Other options to bet on for Super Bowl 58 include game props, the coin toss (heads or tails), the color of the Gatorade shower, national anthem props on the Star-Spangled Banner, halftime show props, exotic props, Most Valuable Player prop odds, player props and live or in-play Super Bowl betting.
What are the odds on the Super Bowl?
Oddsmakers listed the Kansas City Chiefs as betting favorites in the opening odds to win Super Bowl 58. The Chiefs won the Super Bowl in 2023, and opened the offseason as favorites to repeat as champions again in 2024.
Can I bet on Super Bowl futures?
Yes, you can bet on the Super Bowl and a potential winning team. You’re always going to have your top contenders, especially the teams that were really good the previous year like the Chiefs. Having said that, the lines are set with the consideration of offseason roster moves and coaching changes, as well as past performances on the field.
Where can I learn how to bet on the NFL Super Bowl?
The Super Bowl is one of the biggest sporting events in the world. But action on the NFL championship game can be a little overwhelming, especially if you’re new to betting on football. Our How to Bet on the Super Bowlpage will help you learn all the ins and outs to getting money down on the biggest game of the season.