Let's break down the 2025 Super Bowl odds with the NFL regular season advancing into Week 17.
A shift at the top of the odds board has seen the Detroit Lions (+400) and Kansas City Chiefs (+400) once again jump over the Buffalo Bills (+450) and Philadelphia Eagles (+650) to the top.
The Lions have the highest ticket % (15.4%) and handle % (17%) to win the Super Bowl per BetMGM, with the Chiefs owning the second highest ticket (12.5%) and handle (14.5%) percentage. The Ravens are third with 7.8% of Super Bowl tickets and 10.3% of the Super Bowl handle.
Here's a complete breakdown of updated 2025 Super Bowl odds and some value picks:
Who Is Favored To Win Super Bowl 59?
The AFC-leading Kansas City Chiefs, and NFC-leading Detroit Lions are the favorites in the latest Super Bowl 59 odds. With Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills just behind at +450.
| Teams | Odds |
|---|---|
| Detroit Lions | +400 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +400 |
| Buffalo Bills | +450 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +675 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +700 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +1000 |
| Green Bay Packers | +1100 |
| LA Rams | +2500 |
| Houston Texans | +4000 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +4000 |
Odds as of December 24th, 2024 09:38am EST. |
See Our Best NFL Betting Sites Here
Super Bowl Odds Movement
A variety of things can cause Super Bowl odds movement, including injuries, team performance, or transactions. If you look at 2025 Super Bowl odds now, you'll see movement for teams like the Chiefs and Bills:
Rising: Kansas City Chiefs
Can anyone stop the great Patrick Mahomes? Kansas City's offense is slowly rounding into form. With Hollywood Brown back in the lineup, the Chiefs spread the ball around and finally found some explosive plays in a 27-19 victory over the Houston Texans on Saturday.
Don't look now, but Andy Reid finally has a ton of offensive options. Isiah Pacheco is back, Kareem Hunt remains dependable, and Brown, Kelce. Xavier Worthy and De'Andre Hopkins give Mahomes a plethora of weapons. Kansas City is third in EPA per play. Most importantly, Big Red has perfected a ball control offense. The Chiefs rank 1st in plays per drive, 3rd in first downs, 7th in scoring drive percentage (45%), and seventh in fewest tackles allowed for no gain. On top of that, Mahomes is third in total QBR on third-downs.
On the other side of the ball, Steve Spagnuolo's defense is 10th in EPA per play. They're also third in points and yards allowed.
As you might expect, the Chiefs know how to win the big one. They've perfected a winning formula that will likely have them playing deep into January as they chase a third straight Super Bowl title. At this point, can you really afford to bet against them?
Falling: Philadelphia Eagles
After last week the Philadelphia Eagles were hot on the heels of the Buffalo Bills and had won 10 straight football games. Unfortunately, a brutal Week 17 saw Philadelphia not only lose starting quarterback Jalen Hurts, but also a heartbreaking game against the Washington Commanders. Hurts' return date is still unknown. The former Alabama and Oklahoma star will need to clear the NFL's concussion protocol in order to return to action in Week 17 against the Dallas Cowboys.
Nick Sirianni's team will aim to lockup the NFC East with a victory. However, that's easier said than done with Kenny Pickett under center. Pickett himself was injured against the Commanders, and his status for Sunday is uncertain. With Hurts and Saquon Barkley rolling on all cylinders, the Eagles are a juggernaut. But, winning the Super Bowl without their starting quarterback is a tall mountain for this team to climb. The Eagles falling Super Bowl odds reflect that sportsbooks have planned for the worst.
Super Bowl 2025 Odds Best Bet: Steelers (+4000)
Death, taxes, and the Pittsburgh Steelers staying above .500. Mike Tomlin's team has now won at least eight games for a record 18 straight seasons.
The Steelers are certifiable Super Bowl contenders. TJ Watt is as menacing as ever, and Russell Wilson's resurgence has given Pittsburgh the juice they need to contend in the postseason.
Pittsburgh sits in the top 10 in both offensive and defensive yards per play. Additionally, they are allowing just 62% of passes to be completed with a stellar 3.23 interception percentage. Pittsburgh's top-ranked pass-rush and opportunistic secondary will be a handful for even the greatest passers in the NFL to contend with in the playoffs.
Wilson's revival and the Steelers' strong rushing game will keep them playing in February. I love the value on the Steelers at +4000 to win the Super Bowl.
Exact Super Bowl Matchup Odds
We've got Super Bowl 59 exact matchup odds out, and the top teams are exactly where you think they'd be. If I'm looking for some value off the board, I don't hate Steelers vs Lions Super Bowl bet at +2800.
| Teams | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ravens vs Lions | +1000 |
| Chiefs vs Lions | +550 |
| Bills vs. Lions | +650 |
| Bills vs Eagles | +1100 |
| Steelers vs Lions | +4000 |
| Ravens vs Eagles | +1600 |
Odds via BetMGM as of December 24th
Odds Shark's NFL Picks & Odds
Making A Betting Strategy For Super Bowl 59
Crafting a winning Super Bowl betting strategy begins long before the first kickoff of the regular season. Assessing offseason changes, coaching adjustments, and previous performances are crucial factors.
You're likely to get the best betting value on a team if you place a bet before the season, but there are times in the regular season and even playoffs when you can still place a smart bet. Keep an eye on the odds, as they fluctuate throughout the year due to injuries, trades, and team performance. Acting swiftly when you spot favorable odds ensures maximizing potential winnings, as odds can shift dramatically over time at NFL sportsbooks.
The general key to crafting a betting strategy for Super Bowl odds is comparing a team's likelihood of winning in your mind to where they are on the odds board. Finding a team much more likely to win than the odds indicate is the smartest bet you can make. This strategy holds true for most futures odds, including NFL award odds.
Last 10 Super Bowl Champions
| Year | Team | Preseason Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 (58) | Kansas City Chiefs | +600 | Chiefs 25 - 49ers 22 |
| 2023 (57) | Kansas City Chiefs | +1000 | Chiefs 38 - Eagles 35 |
| 2022 (56) | Los Angeles Rams | +1200 | Rams 23 - Bengals 20 |
| 2021 (55) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1000 | Buccaneers 31 - Chiefs 9 |
| 2020 (54) | Kansas City Chiefs | +600 | Chiefs 31 - 49ers 20 |
| 2019 (53) | New England Patriots | +600 | Patriots 13 - Rams 3 |
| 2018 (52) | Philadelphia Eagles | +4000 | Eagles 41 - Patriots 33 |
| 2017 (51) | New England Patriots | +600 | Patriots 34 - Falcons 28 |
| 2016 (50) | Denver Broncos | +900 | Broncos 24 - Panthers 10 |
| 2015 (49) | New England Patriots | +650 | Patriots 28 - Seahawks 24 |
The Kansas City Chiefs have been a powerhouse lately, winning three of the last five Super Bowls. Led by coach Andy Reid and QB Patrick Mahomes, you can expect the Chiefs at the top of these odds as long as they're around.
The biggest recent Super Bowl underdog was the 2017 Eagles, who beat Brady’s Patriots in the final. They even did so after their No. 1 QB, Carson Wentz, went down with an injury late in the season. Backup Nick Foles took over under center and earned Super Bowl MVP honors to deliver great preseason odds value to Philly’s Super Bowl 52 bettors.
NFL Teams with the Most Super Bowls
| Team | Super Bowl Wins | Super Bowl Appearances | Last Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | 6 | 11 | 2018 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 8 | 2008 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 7 | 1994 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 8 | 1995 |
| Green Bay Packers | 4 | 5 | 2010 |
| New York Giants | 4 | 5 | 2011 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 6 | 2024 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 5 | 1991 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 8 | 2015 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 5 | 1983 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 2 | 2012 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2 | 2 | 2020 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 4 | 2006 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 5 | 1973 |
| New Orleans Saints | 1 | 1 | 2009 |
| New York Jets | 1 | 1 | 1968 |
| Chicago Bears | 1 | 2 | 1985 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 1 | 4 | 2017 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 1 | 3 | 2021 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 1 | 3 | 2013 |
The Steelers and Patriots dominate the history of the Super Bowl. They’ve appeared in 19 of the 57 Super Bowls, winning six each. There is some decent NFL parity, though, with 20 teams claiming a title all-time.
NFL Teams that have never won a Super Bowl
The 12 teams that have never won a Super Bowl are:
- Buffalo Bills (four Super Bowl appearances)
- Minnesota Vikings (4)
- Atlanta Falcons (2)
- Carolina Panthers (2)
- Cincinnati Bengals (2)
- Arizona Cardinals (1)
- Tennessee Titans (1)
- Los Angeles Chargers (1)
- Cleveland Browns (0)
- Detroit Lions (0)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (0)
- Houston Texans (0)
Super Bowl Betting Trends
Trends aren't the only thing that dictates future success, but they can give insight into some teams and details both bettors and sportsbooks often overlook. Check out these Super Bowl trends below or weekly NFL betting trends for game-to-game data.
- 8 of the last 12 Super Bowls have been won by an AFC team.
- 13 of the last 16 Super Bowl-winning QBs have been at least 27 at the time of their victory.
- No rookie QB has ever won the Super Bowl as a starter.
- Cheap out at RB: The rushing leader of nine of the last 11 Super Bowl Champs has made $2.5 million or less base salary.
- A quarterback has won Super Bowl MVP 15 of the last 23 years.
Picks by League
Super Bowl Odds FAQ
What other options are there to bet on?
Other options to bet on for Super Bowl 58 include game props, the coin toss (heads or tails), the color of the Gatorade shower, national anthem props on the Star-Spangled Banner, halftime show props, exotic props, Most Valuable Player prop odds, player props and live or in-play Super Bowl betting.
What are the odds on the Super Bowl?
Oddsmakers listed the Kansas City Chiefs as betting favorites in the opening odds to win Super Bowl 58. The Chiefs won the Super Bowl in 2023, and opened the offseason as favorites to repeat as champions again in 2024.
Can I bet on Super Bowl futures?
Yes, you can bet on the Super Bowl and a potential winning team. You’re always going to have your top contenders, especially the teams that were really good the previous year like the Chiefs. Having said that, the lines are set with the consideration of offseason roster moves and coaching changes, as well as past performances on the field.
Where can I learn how to bet on the NFL Super Bowl?
The Super Bowl is one of the biggest sporting events in the world. But action on the NFL championship game can be a little overwhelming, especially if you’re new to betting on football. Our How to Bet on the Super Bowl page will help you learn all the ins and outs to getting money down on the biggest game of the season.
