The 2025 NFL Draft is coming up fast, so it's time to break down first overall pick odds
We've got our latest NFL Mock Draft up along with odds for draft props up and down the board. But, when it comes to the 1st Overall Pick Odds, Cam Ward has skyrocketed from +450 opening odds to the -355 favorite at Sportsbook.
I'll break down the latest 2025 NFL Draft first-overall pick odds from Sportsbook and find if there's any value in guys like Travis Hunter or Abdul Carter:
Cam Ward Favored In NFL Draft 1st Overall Pick Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| QB Cam Ward | -355 |
| DE Abdul Carter | +250 |
| WR/CB Travis Hunter | +1800 |
| QB Shedeur Sanders | +4000 |
| QB Jaxson Dart | +80000 |
Odds as of March 13th, 2024 from Sportsbook
The latest NFL Draft odds show that Miami QB Cam Ward has become the run-away favorite to go first overall, opening at +450 and moving up significantly to -355 in the last few weeks.
After transferring from Washington State last year, Ward led the nation with 39 passing touchdowns this season, posting a solid 67.2% completion rate and throwing the ball deeper than any other passer in his conference. He's not as hyped of a prospect as Caleb Williams, as he's not the dynamic running threat. Instead, Ward has drawn comparisons to Big Ben and Baker Mayfield — both high picks and successful NFL products, but not sexy first picks.
He's the safe bet at 1.1, but certainly not as eye-catching as some of the other options.
Bettors Still Love Travis Hunter As 1st Overall Value Pick
If Cam Ward isn't selected first overall, I've gotta think it'll be the reigning Heisman winner, and two-way star in Travis Hunter — even ahead of a guy like Shedeur Sanders.
Bettors seem to be on the same page, as Hunter is the most bet player in the first overall pick odds (29.2% of all tickets) and the biggest liability for the books, per Sportsbook betting data:
Most Bet Player For 1st Overall Pick
- Travis Hunter 29.2%
- Shedeur Sanders 18.7%
- Cameron Ward 16.8%
Hunter is the most-bet player to go first overall, in terms of total wagers. But, Cam Ward has far-and-away the most money on him (likely why he's moved so far up in the odds). Per Sportsbook data, 44.4% of the entire betting handle rests on Ward to go first, which means big bettors and sharps like the Miami passer most. It's hard to get much value at the -355 line Ward currently sits at, but I only think that number is going to get worse.
Previous NFL 1st Overall NFL Draft Picks
Since 2001, 18 of the 24 players drafted first were quarterbacks. WR Keyshawn Johnson (1996) was the last player drafted No. 1 overall who wasn't either a QB or a lineman.
In the past 10 drafts, there were eight QBs and two DL selected first.
| Year | Position | Players | School | NFL Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | QB | Caleb Williams | USC | Chicago Bears |
| 2023 | QB | Bryce Young | Alabama | Carolina Panthers |
| 2022 | DE | Travon Walker | Georgia | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 2021 | QB | Trevor Lawrence | Clemson | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 2020 | QB | Joe Burrow | LSU | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 2019 | QB | Kyler Murray | Oklahoma | Arizona Cardinals |
| 2018 | QB | Baker Mayfield | Oklahoma | Cleveland Browns |
| 2017 | DE | Myles Garrett | Texas A&M | Cleveland Browns |
| 2016 | QB | Jared Goff | Cal | Los Angeles Rams |
| 2015 | QB | Jameis Winston | Florida State | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
