The New England Patriots are 19-0 SU and 15-4 ATS over their last 19 games at home. The Patriots host the Cleveland Browns this Sunday looking to extend a streak of eight straight double-digit home wins, winning those games by an average of 19.4 points per game.
- Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots (Matchup Report)
- Date/Time: October 27, 4:25 p.m. ET
- TV Coverage: CBS
- Sportsbook Odds: New England -10.5 | O/U 46.5 (Line History)
Sportsbook Odds Analysis
New England’s dominant performance on defense on Monday night inspired plenty of bettors to take the Patriots at home in this one, bumping the line a full 2.5 points from its opener of -10.5 up to -13. The total has also moved down a point from 46.5 to 45.5.
Cleveland News & Notes
After all the hype surrounding the Cleveland Browns as a dark horse Super Bowl contender and favorite to win the AFC North, the Browns entered their Week 7 bye with a 2-4 SU and ATS record on the season. Baker Mayfield has been one of the league’s worst quarterbacks this season, throwing a dismal 11 interceptions with only five touchdown passes despite a loaded offense that includes Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry and Nick Chubb around him.
Will things get any better for Cleveland out of the bye week? The Browns enter this matchup with a 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS record in their last seven games against New England and a 2-27 SU and 10-18-1 ATS record in their last 29 games as a road underdog.
New England News & Notes
Sam Darnold was “seeing ghosts” in what was the worst game of his professional career on Monday night against the Patriots, completing only 11 of his 32 pass attempts for 86 yards and four interceptions. For New England, it was just another day at the office – the Patriots improved to 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS while continuing their incredible run on defense. The Patriots rank No. 1 in the league in yards against per game (223.1), points against per game (6.9) and forced turnovers (22), including 18 interceptions.
New England is 12-0 SU and 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games as a double-digit favorite at home. To make matters worse for opposing teams, the Patriots added Mohamed Sanu in a trade with the Atlanta Falcons this week to help bolster their offense.
Betting Pick: Patriots -13
Sometimes it’s best not to overthink things. The dominant Patriots defense at home against a struggling Browns team led by the quarterback who leads the league in interceptions? Take New England.
- The Browns are 1-17 SU in their last 18 games in October.
- The Patriots are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of the Browns’ last 5 games vs the Patriots.
