Both offenses have been humming of late scoring 4.2 goals each in recent samples. Getting both under the same roof this afternoon in Toronto should see the total go OVER six goals.
We've also seen the total go OVER often when the Jets and Leafs meet in Toronto with the total going OVER five times in the last seven meetings.
Tavares has two hat-tricks this year, one against the Sabres and another against the Jets earlier in the year when Johnny-T helped end the Jets' season-opening winning streak. In Tavares's last five games against the Jets, he has six goals making him a good candidate to score again tonight.
Maple Leafs ML: Toronto has been great at home lately going 7-3SU in their last 10 and have had the Jets number winning three in a row against Winnipeg at Scotiabank Arena. The Jets have been "good" on the road recently going 3-2SU, but those aren't convincing wins having come against the Sharks, Hawks, and Sabres, three teams pegged to the bottom of the NHL standings.
UNDER 6 Goals: Yes, I know I said the total would go OVER 6 goals but the Odds Shark staff outvoted me and said the total would go UNDER. Looking at my expert picks record this year, I can't say I blame them for fading me.
Tavares O3.5 SOG: Tavares's line might seem a tad high, but we must remember that Auston Matthews won't play today, which means the Leafs will lean on Tavares even more as their only true top-six center. The Jets also allow the 10th-most shots in the league from centers at 10.3 per game.
Laine has scored five goals in three games ALL of them have come on the power play. That's pushed the Habs' power play to an outstanding 27% efficiency in their last nine games with eight goals on 30 opportunities.
Meanwhile, Columbus may have only allowed a single PP goal in six games, but they hold the sixth-worst PK efficiency in the league at 74%. The Blue Jackets are a flawed team on the PK, and Laine should easily exploit that.
Seeing Nashville win three of its last five and Carolina struggling with a 5-5SU record over its last 10 initially had me jumping on the Preds moneyline, but then I remembered my 37-50-1 record this year and thought I should go the other way.
Carolina has won three of its last four games, only losing 3-1 to the Caps on the 20th, a game where Carolina dominated shot share (63%) and expected goals (56%). The Canes are an excellent team worthy of their 0.652 points percentage and it's hard to trust that the Predators are all of a sudden fixed. So the Canes on the moneyline it is!
Last 100 | To Win | Moneyline | Total O/U |
---|---|---|---|
$ Units (Opening) | $362 | -$938 | -$1063 |
$ Units (Closing) | $234 | -$742 | -$850 |
Record (Opening) | 57 - 42 - 1 | 52 - 45 - 3 | 44 - 46 - 10 |
Record (Closing) | 57 - 42 - 1 | 54 - 46 | 45 - 49 - 6 |
We've combined statistical analysis and machine learning to make these computer picks. The table above shows you how the computer has done in its last 100 picks against the moneyline, spread (puckline), and the total with $100 units.
Seeing where the computer has had success (or has failed) can give you some insight into where the betting value might lie going forward.
How to Use the NHL Computer Picks Table
Use our computer picks as the starting point in your handicapping journey. Our computer analyzes every stat in our database and chooses the bet that has the most likely outcome. Now use our other tools to do your own research and see if that research agrees or disagrees with the computer.
Odds Shark's Free Computer Picks
Moneyline
An NHL moneyline bet is simple – all you need to do is pick a winner. Whether that’s in regulation or overtime, they don't ask how but how many, right?
Team | Moneyline Odds |
---|---|
Edmonton Oilers | -130 |
Florida Panthers | +110 |
As with all moneyline odds, the team with the minus (-) is the favorite, while the side with the plus (+) is the underdog.
Betting $100 on Edmonton at -130 would net you $176 in winnings (if they win the game), $76 of profit plus your initial $100 wager. Conversely, if you bet on Florida and they win you get $210 -- $110 in profit plus your initial $100 bet.
Spread (Puckline)
The puckline is the NHL's version of the spread, where each team is given a certain amount of goals to either win/lose by. Unlike the NFL or the NBA, the NHL spread doesn't typically change from 1.5 for each side. The spread is designed to make betting on the favorite more enticing.
Team | Moneyline Odds | Puckline Odds |
---|---|---|
Edmonton Oilers | -130 | -1.5 (-110) |
Florida Panthers | +110 | +1.5 (-180) |
The favorite (Edmonton at -1.5) would need to win by at least two goals for the bet to cash. If Edmonton wins by two or more goals - in other words "covers the bet" - you'd get $191 in winnings instead of $176 by taking them on the moneyline.
There are two ways for the underdog (Florida at +1.5) to "cover" a +1.5 puckline bet. They can lose by a single goal or win outright to cash! The odds are shorter but you've got options on this bet.
Totals (OVER/UNDER)
With a total bet, you're wagering on the total number of goals scored by both teams. You aren't backing any single side to win.
Team | Total Odds |
---|---|
Edmonton Oilers | O5.5 (-115) |
Florida Panthers | U5.5 (-105) |
Sportsbooks will set a line for the game, in this case, it's 5.5 goals. Your job is to figure out if Edmonton and Florida will score more or less than 5.5 goals (not counting the shootout).
If you see a line that's an even number, like 6.0, those bets can end in a push where your wager is refunded if the game ends at exactly six goals.
More NHL Picks & Betting Tools
You know what the moneyline, spread (puckline) and total bets are, you're ready to start betting on NHL hockey. But before you just start placing bets with your gut, make sure to check out our betting tools and betting guides.
They can guide you with more than just moneyline, spread and total bets but they can help you find value in the futures and player props markets as well.