The Gators are coming off a 27-16 victory over 3-point road favorite LSU, which marked Florida’s sixth cover in its past seven games. The Rebels have won three straight, most recently a 28-10 pounding of Georgia two weeks ago which vaulted them into serious College Football Playoff contention, and have covered in six of their nine games against FBS opponents so far this season.
But, that spread is too big. See my full preview for an SEC trend you need to know.
With Johnson on the shelf, Jackson has taken over the role of feature back for the Gators, and he’s largely delivered with touchdowns in each of his last three games.
While Florida running backs tend to get fewer touches with Lagway in the lineup—the quarterback is the team’s biggest running threat—Jackson remains the go-to guy in short-yardage situations and at the goal line.
But, that spread is too big. See my full preview for an SEC trend you need to know.
Since the turn of the century, the Ohio State Buckeyes have defeated Indiana in 21-straight meetings. However, in that span, the best record the Hoosiers finished with was 8-5 SU (2019). That's not how the new-and-improved Indiana program, still undefeated, operates under Curt Cignetti.
At double-digit points, this week's line is a bit too inflated to hand to the Ryan Day.
See my full Indiana vs Ohio State preview for more.
*picks made as of Tuesday, November 19 at 11:30 am ET
Tate may have the third-most receiving yards on the Buckeyes (457), but there's no doubt he runs into some problems when lining up against a stout defense. In his meetings with Penn State and Oregon, the sophomore recorded 15-yards or fewer in each performance.
He's averaging 14.2 yards when up against a top 25 receiving defense.
See my full Indiana vs Ohio State preview for more.
*picks made as of Tuesday, November 19 at 11:30 am ET
Almost all of the Jayhawks’ games have been close—they’ve suffered losses by five, three, five, four and two points, in addition to their two-point victory in Provo.
Against Colorado, they’ll try to run the ball behind read-option quarterback Jalon Daniels, control time of possession, and keep the Buffaloes’ high-powered offense off the field.
See my full Colorado vs Kansas preview for more.
No question, much of the focus Saturday will be on Colorado stars Hunter and Shedeur Sanders. But keep an eye out for Kansas running back Devin Neal, who’s become one of the Big 12’s more reliable scorers.
Neal has found the end zone in seven consecutive games for the Jayhawks, scoring two touchdowns each against Iowa State and BYU. The senior is a cornerstone of a Kansas rushing attack which will be a point of emphasis against the Buffaloes.
See my full Colorado vs Kansas preview for more.
BetMGM is offering the Nittany Lions as 12.5-point road favorites, who are 5-4 ATS when entering a matchup favored.
I have to appreciate P.J. Fleck's defense, which allows 314.3 YPG (ranked 14th) and 19.7 PPG (ranked 17th). Courtesy of them, the Golden Gophers are a noble 7-2-1 ATS and have only suffered a single loss by more than one touchdown (Week 4 vs Iowa).
I'm trusting my money with the defense to pull through with enough big stops.
Read my full Penn State vs Minnesota analysis here.
*picks made as of Tuesday, November 19 at 3:00 pm ET
Since their unfathomable home loss to Northern Illinois on Sept. 7, the Irish have won eight straight games by an average margin of 32.5 points. Notre Dame has also covered in five straight, all against double-digit spreads.
Notre Dame has a bevy of running backs and receivers it can run in and out, and the defense is allowing 11 points per game. The Domers own quality wins over Texas A&M, Louisville (which beat Clemson) and Georgia Tech (which upset Miami).
Looking for more picks? See my full Army vs Notre Dame preview.
*picks made as of Tuesday, November 19 at 9:00 am ET
Love enjoyed a huge day against Virginia, when he carried 16 times for 137 yards and a touchdown. While Notre Dame rotates several running backs, Love has scored a touchdown in all 12 games he’s played in so far this season.
Love carried 12 times for 102 yards and two touchdowns against Navy, and should get lots of touches again Saturday against the Black Knights.
Looking for more picks? See my full Army vs Notre Dame preview.
*picks made as of Tuesday, November 19 at 9:00 am ET
Alabama is averaging over 471 yards of offense over its last three games. Oklahoma simply can’t keep up with that. The Sooners have gone back to Jackson Arnold at quarterback, with mixed results. OU’s once-vaunted defense has wilted from carrying the load, slipping to the middle of the pack in the SEC.
Yes, it’s hard for double-digit road favorites to cover in the SEC—just one has done it entering this weekend. And yet given what we’ve seen from both teams recently, Alabama remains the play.
See my full Alabama vs Oklahoma preview for more picks.
Oklahoma’s defense may not be what it was early in the season, but the Sooners remain very good against the run, allowing opponents an average of 109 rush yards per game. That likely opens up the passing game for Milroe, who’s thrown for 215 yards or more in four of his last six starts against SEC competition.
See my full Alabama vs Oklahoma preview for more picks.
Last 100 | To Win | ATS | Total O/U |
---|---|---|---|
$ Units (Opening) | $677 | -$412 | -$2584 |
$ Units (Closing) | $1465 | -$742 | -$362 |
Record (Opening) | 70 - 27 | 50 - 48 - 2 | 39 - 61 |
Record (Closing) | 71 - 27 | 48 - 51 - 1 | 50 - 49 - 1 |
The table above lets you know how profitable and helpful our sports betting computer picks have been across the last 100 college football games played. Our NCAAF computer picks uses expert data to review odds and generate moneyline, spread and total bets for every game throughout the season.
Listed in the table is unit details, which is the total profit (or loss) based on a bettor placing $100 on each of the last 100 college football picks made by the computer, on the opening and closing lines.
Take advantage of these free college football picks before you wager any money at sportsbooks.
Odd Shark's Free Computer Picks
how to use nCAAF Computer picks
As human beings, we're bound to be bias with our picks and potentially fall into the trap of swinging with the public. With advanced stats growing in popularity and getting harder to track, college football computer predictions are starting to become more relied on.
moneyline
Betting on a moneyline simply means you're picking the outright winner of the game, regardless of the scoring margin or total. If the team you choose wins, then your bet hits. Here's what it will look like over at your favorite sportsbook:
Team | Moneyline |
---|---|
Alabama Crimson Tide | -120 |
Missouri Tigers | +150 |
In this case, Alabama are favorites to win the game as their moneyline odds have a minus sign (-) in front of the number. The favorites will have the minus sign present, and the underdogs will have a plus sign (+). Easy, right?
spread
Betting the spread gives your bet a bit more breathing room. Here, you don't need to sweat out a team to win. Instead, you can wager on the point differential on the scoreboard.
Betting on the spread is a good idea when the moneyline profits aren't enticing. There's no point betting on Alabama as heavy -1500 favorites over Missouri. But, taking Missouri to keep the scoring margin within a certain frame will get you more bang for your buck.
Team | Spread |
---|---|
Alabama Crimson Tide | -24.5 (-105) |
Missouri Tigers | +24.5 (-115) |
In this example, the Tide are favored to dominate their game against Missouri, outperforming them by atleast 24.5 points.
If Alabama does win by more than 25 points, that would mean the Crimson Tide covered the spread. But, if the Tide won by just 20 points, then would mean the Tigers "covered the spread" instead.
totals
If you think the outcome of a game could flip in either direction, then an OVER/UNDER is the way to go. This bet relies on the combined score from both teams and whether it goes over or under the point total listed over at sportsbooks. Then, who cares who wins?
Team | Total |
---|---|
Alabama Crimson Tide | O 52.5 (-110) |
Missouri Tigers | U 52.5 (-110) |
In this example, oddsmakers have set the total score for the at 52.5 points. The choice is now up to you! If you think the Tide and Tigers will score a combined total of more than 52.5 (53 points or more) points, then pick the OVER. If you're thinking otherwise, then bet the UNDER and the bet will hit if they score fewer than 52.5 (53 points or less) points.
If the set number was a whole number like 52 points and the two teams score exactly that amount, then it is considered a push and you'd get your money back.