Naoya Inoue is a whopping -5000 favorite over TJ Doheny (+1800) in their upcoming bout for the super bantamweight title on September 3. The Inoue vs Doheny odds are as steep as they get, which tells us "Monster" is poised for another one-sided defense.
Let's scan the Inoue vs Doheny odds for a shred of value, as maybe we can stab a longshot pick to make betting on this fight worthwhile.
Inoue vs Doheny Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Naoya Inoue | -5000 |
| TJ Doheny | +1800 |
Odds as of August 27
Using our odds calculator, Inoue's -5000 favorite status means a $100 bet on him pays out just $102. The same bet $100 bet on Doheny pays out $1,900.
How To Bet Inoue
This is not an original opinion, but this fight vs Doheny is very clearly a stay-busy brawl as the Japanese native waits for stiffer competition later in 2024. He has cleaned out the Super Bantamweight division and is running out of dudes to fight.
Monster should have little problem dispatching Doheny. Inoue's speed and destructive punches will help him cruise to victory as he ideally wraps up this fight with a highlight-reel KO. The 31-year-old has won his last eight fights inside the distance, so we'll start there for our bet. Currently, Inoue by KO is at -1400, which is a non-factor.
Given Doheny's durability, I'll bet this fight goes OVER 4.5 rounds. You can parlay that with Inoue by KO for some solid odds. More on this later.
How to Bet Doheny
Doheny has even less of a chance of winning than Edgar Berlanga (+950) does over Canelo Alvarez, and that's saying something. While "The Power" has won three consecutive fights by KO, there's really nothing he can do to defeat Inoue on September 3.
You can waste your money with a bet on the Irishman, but you'd be better off cooking up a parlay or longshot bet on Inoue to win.
Inoue vs Doheny Picks
Most sportsbooks offer boxing same-game parlays, and that's how you can milk some value out of this fight. I'll be betting Inoue to win by KO, combined with the OVER 4.5 rounds, as Doheny has never been stopped, meaning Inoue will have to bang away at him until he crumbles near the end of the fight.
