Copa America Expert Picks Today: Argentina vs. Ecuador

Copa América 2024 Expert Picks Today: Argentina vs. Ecuador Quarterfinal Preview

Sadly, hosts USA have been eliminated. But, you can still win big on all the American Independence Day action, as Copa América and World Cup Champions Argentina take on upstarts Ecuador in a crucial quarterfinal contest on Thursday, July 4. The party gets started from NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas at 9 pm ET.

Let’s dive into all the latest Argentina vs. Ecuador odds and my Copa América expert picks of the day.

Argentina vs. Ecuador Copa América Odds

TeamMoneylineDrawTotalSpread
Argentina-209+300Over 2 Goals (-115)-1 (-117)
Ecuador+799 Under 2 Goals (+103)+1 (-106)

Odds as of July 4

Nick Holz's Pick: Argentina -1 (-117)

Argentina have never lost to Ecuador at the Copa, with 11 wins and five draws in 16 matches. The tournament favorites enter this match on an eight game winning streak as they aim to lift the trophy in back-to-back tournaments. 

Despite playing off the bench for most of the tournament, Lautaro Martinez has scored four goals already to pace the Copa America Golden Boot race. The fact that Argentina can bring the Serie A player of the season off the bench is unfathomable for most teams in this tournament. Even without Lionel Messi, La Albiceleste cruised to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Peru on Matchday 3. With the little maestro back in the squad for the quarterfinal, its tough to bet against the reigning World Cup champions.

After all, Argentina faced off against Ecuador way back on June 9, which they won 1-0. Lionel Scaloni's charges drifted to victory with over 65% of possession to go along with 11 shots, while holding Ecuador without a shot on target.

La Tricolor have been my tournament darlings, with wunderkid Kendry Paez leading the charge, Moises Caicedo of Chelsea bossing the midfield, and Piero Hincapie providing cover along the backline. However, defeating a stacked Argentina squad, at the height of its powers, is a bridge too far for this young squad.

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