Can Germany recover and qualify out of World Cup Group E odds?

World Cup Group E Odds: Germany Could Crash Out At Group Stage Again

Dropping all three points against Japan in their opener wasn’t necessarily catastrophic for Germany at the 2022 World Cup, but it’s created some big questions in Group E. Like can the Germans make it out of a group they should have easily qualified out of?

After that loss to the Blue Samurai, the Germans have the third-best odds to qualify out at +150. With two games left in the group stage, can they pick up the necessary points to move on?

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World Cup Group E Odds: To Win Outright

odds to win group E outright
CountrySportsbook OddsCurrent Odds
Spain-115-400
Germany+110+575
Japan+1400+400
Costa Rica+5000+15000

Odds as of November 24 at Sportsbook

World Cup Group E Odds: Odds To Advance From Group Stage

odds to advance from group stage
CountrySportsbook OddsCurrent Odds
Spain-1000-115
Germany-900+150
Japan+350-350
Costa Rica+1000+3300

Odds as of November 24 at Sportsbook

Group E Odds: Germans need two wins

Teams who lose the first game have an 11 percent chance of qualifying for the Round of 16. It’s already not looking good for the Germans. And then you have to consider the road ahead of them in the group stage.

Through their eight qualifying games, Spain scored 15 goals while allowing five for a decent +10 goal differential. More impressive, though, is their European-best 76.88 percent possession rate and 91.5 percent passing accuracy through those games.

The Germans have games against Spain and Costa Rica remaining in the group stage. Die Mannschaft is the heavy favorite to take all three points against the Central American squad at -1000. But they’re the underdog to get a win against Spain at +185. Spain is favored to take all three points in that all-Euro matchup at +135.

That game will decide Germany’s future. Because failing to get a single point against Spain will knock them out at the group stage for the second tournament in a row.

The Germans will think they can get something out of the Spain matchup even though they lost to Japan. In that Sportsbook match, Germany held an outstanding 74 percent of the ball, 66 percent of the shots on target and 67 percent of the expected goals. The Germans were by far the better side, yet they lost 2-1.

They’ll need that type of performance on the ball against Spain if they have any hope of a result. At +150 to qualify, the reward of $150 on a $100 bet isn’t enough based on the risk at hand.

Spain Absolutely Dominant In Opener

Standing in Germany’s way to seeing the Round of 16 is Spain. And in their opener, the Spaniards made one heck of a statement by knocking seven goals past Keylor Navas and Costa Rica. Who needs a striker, right? Spain’s false-9 setup cut the Central American side like a hot knife through butter. They held an insane 81 percent of the possession, 100 percent of the shots and 100 percent of the expected goals.

Spain was unbelievably dominant. Of course, Germany and even Japan will prove to be a tougher test, but it’s clear Spain is playing freely and at the peak of its powers. So good luck to both sides here.

Find the best Group E odds at Sportsbook:

Japan Can Qualify for Round of 16

The Japanese head into their matchup with Costa Rica as the heavy favorite at -225. That represents implied odds of 69.23 percent of winning their second game of the group stage.

And that’s really all they should need to progress. Six points in the standings would force Germany to need a win over Spain, something that seems unlikely, as we’ve already gone over.

A winning $100 bet on Japan to qualify would return a measly $28.57. But getting a win over Costa Rica puts them in a really strong position to top the group if they can manage a draw against Spain. We’re talking about +400 odds on Japan, so we’re looking at good money.

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Not Much To Say About Costa Rica

What an embarrassing result. It’s one thing to get outplayed on the pitch. But it’s another when you have seven goals pumped past you.

The Central American side wasn’t just beaten, they were humiliated. Unless they can dramatically improve over their next two games, they’ll bow out with their heads held very low.

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