2022 Tour Championship Prop Bets: Scheffler To Remain On First Page Of Leaderboard

With our outright wagers placed, we now turn our attention to the prop market for our expert selections for the 2022 Tour Championship. It is always important to search for value in the top finishing markets, so remember to shop around for the best lines for your 2022 Tour Championship prop bets as they typically differ from sportsbook to sportsbook.

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Another week on the PGA Tour has come and gone and with it was another dramatic tournament. Patrick Cantlay claimed victory at the BMW Championship as he successfully defended his title, albeit at a different golf course. This tournament followed up a heart-stopping St. Jude Championship that saw Will Zalatoris win in a playoff over Sepp Straka.

Unfortunately, Zalatoris has since injured his back and was forced to withdraw from this week’s Tour Championship due to two herniated discs. The Wake Forest alum was slated to begin his week at 7 under and was one of the favorites to raise the FedExCup after a stellar regular season that featured playoff losses at the PGA Championship and Farmers Insurance as well as a close call at the U.S. Open.

Due to his absence, this week’s Tour Championship presents a great opportunity to take advantage of market inefficiencies. Between the staggered start and a big name missing, there are winning bets to be had at East Lake.

Scottie Scheffler is the tournament favorite at Sportsbook and is listed at -2000 to finish inside the top 20 at the Tour Championship. He arrives with a two-stroke lead and is eight strokes clear of those who currently occupy 20th on the leaderboard.

According to our odds calculator, this gives him a 95.2 percent chance to find either the first or second page of the leaderboard. Needing to lay $2,000 to profit $100 at those odds, we will instead look elsewhere for value in the Tour Championship prop market.

2022 Tour Championship Prop Bets

Scottie Scheffler: To Finish 2nd Or Better ( –110)

I absolutely love this bet as the margin between Scheffler and third place is currently four strokes. He should have no problem maintaining that edge as he arrives in fantastic form, having just finished T-3 at the BMW Championship.

There are no flaws in the current state of Scheffler’s game and now we are getting him at a pick‘em with a four-stroke edge. This number does not make much sense as he has thrived at East Lake in the past when he wasn’t nearly the player he is today. Scheffler should roll to the FedExCup, but this wager gives us some wiggle room if someone else catches lightning in a bottle.

Matt Fitzpatrick –125 Over Cameron Young

Odds as of August 24 at Sportsbook

This will be the first appearance at East Lake for both of these players and I am inclined to back the U.S. Open Sportsbook as his floor is much higher than Young’s. Fitzpatrick has a knack for playing himself onto the first page of the leaderboard, while Young is much more volatile.

Fitzpatrick recently impressed at TPC Southwind, another course that demands players find the fairway and features penal Bermuda rough lining the fairway. Young has a tendency to get wild off the tee, which ultimately led him to play himself out of contention last week after being well positioned at the 36-hole mark.

Aaron Wise –110 Over Adam Scott

Odds as of August 24 via Sportsbook

What Wise is currently doing is actually incredible. He just played himself into the Tour Championship for the first time since 2018 and will now have a chance to possibly qualify for the U.S. Presidents Cup team with a strong showing this week.

He has been simply ridiculous in the ball-striking department. He posted +0.83 strokes gained off the tee per round and +1.26 strokes gained approach per round at TPC Southwind, resulting in a T-31 finish. Then he followed up with +0.89 strokes gained off the tee per round and +1.19 strokes gained approach per round at the BMW Championship, which led him to a T-15 effort.

While Scott’s story is nice, he has been wayward off the tee and super reliant on his putter. That hot streak may fizzle this week at East Lake.

Tony Finau +175 Over Sam Burns & Cameron Smith

Odds as of August 24 via Sportsbook

Finau entered the FedExCup postseason as the hottest golfer on the planet. Doubling his career win total over the span of two weeks, he should be able to get on track at a golf course like East Lake Golf Club.

He will be tasked with beating Sam Burns, who struggles off the tee, and Cameron Smith, who is questionable due to his hip. Expect Finau’s tee-to-green prowess to propel him past his two competitors in this one.

Corey Conners +175 Over Collin Morikawa & Hideki Matsuyama

Odds as of August 24 via Sportsbook

Matsuyama is dealing with injuries and rumors about a potential departure to a rival golf league. That sets the stage for Conners vs Morikawa as both players hold a very similar statistical profile. Both players are extremely accurate off the tee and excel with their irons in hand.

I give the slight edge to Conners as he has shown the ability to pop on Bermuda greens on a more regular basis. This matchup will come down to the putter and Conners is slowly but surely getting more comfortable with his in hand.

Joaquin Niemann +180 Over Viktor Hovland & Jordan Spieth

Odds as of August 24 via Sportsbook

The young Chilean is simply the best player of the bunch in this trio. Niemann has impressed throughout the postseason as he finished T-13 at the St. Jude Championship and T-8 at the BMW Championship while both Hovland and Spieth have struggled.

This price doesn’t make too much sense outside of the history of both Hovland and Spieth at East Lake. I would much rather play the hot hand than having to rely on good vibes arriving to a player’s corner once they step foot on property.

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