LeBron James heads back to South Beach tonight to take on his former team and if recent trends have anything to do with the matchup this evening, the Heat may actually have a chance. Miami has won its last two home games by an average of 22.5 points and has been one of the best spread bets in all of the Association this season.
- The Heat are 8-2 ATS on the backend of their last 10 back-to-backs and 3-1 SU in their last 4.
- The Cavaliers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 trips to Miami.
- The Heat are 17-4 since January 21st.
Miami hasn’t exactly rolled out the welcome mat for LeBron in recent matchups but I think the line tonight is a little wonky. I know the Heat have been red-hot the last month and a half but a 1.5-point spread is not enough of a cushion against the best team in the Eastern Conference and I don’t care what the trends say.
The Cavs have gone through a bit of a rough patch and will be without Kevin Love for the rest of the season but when you look at their games this season when they’ve been a small favorite, they’ve performed very well, going 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five as a fave of 4.5 points or fewer.
You’d be crazy to fade Cleveland in this spot and the public agrees with over 95 percent of bets coming in on the Cavs’ -1.5-point line.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Those looking to pick the visitors as their prediction to cover in this one found the Cleveland Cavaliers listed as -4.5-point favorites earlier at Sportsbook. Meanwhile, the OVER/UNDER total betting line for this game was set at 217 at Sportsbook but may have moved since the betting odds opened.
Handicapping prediction models run by the computers at Odds Shark pick a 109-103 result in favor of the Heat. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NBA matchups here.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Miami Heat bring a 28-34 record (36-26 ATS) to the battle against the 42-18 Cleveland Cavaliers, who are 28-30-2 ATS. Fans OVER/UNDER betting have seen Miami Heat go 28-34 so far and the Cleveland Cavaliers go 34-24-2. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Miami vs Cleveland injuries news.
The betting Power Rankings at Odds Shark have the No. 11-rated Cleveland Cavaliers taking on the No. 2-rated Miami Heat in this NBA contest.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively the game matches up Miami's No. 24-ranked offense (101.9 PPG) against a Cleveland Cavaliers defense that ranks No. 21 at 106.28 PPG. The Miami Heat have averaged 45.25% from the field per game, less than the Cleveland Cavaliers have managed so far this NBA season (46.7% on average).
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Kyrie Irving went off for 43 points and added 2 rebounds leading Cleveland to a 135-130 win over Atlanta on Friday at Philips Arena.
The Heat got 19 points from James Johnson, but it was Orlando that prevailed in a 110-99 final on Friday at Amway Center.
- Cleveland is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
- Cleveland is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
- The total has gone OVER in 14 of Cleveland's last 20 games
- Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
- Miami is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 games
- Miami is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
- Miami is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Cleveland home to Miami, Monday, March 6th
