Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers

The obvious stance to take here would be projecting Cleveland to bounce back and be incredibly motivated to erase Sunday's 108-93 defeat on their home floor. The team shot poorly from the field (39.8 percent from the field and 26.8 percent from 3-point range), and registered fewer than 100 points despite being the No. 1-ranked offense in basketball for just the first time all season. It also marked the fourth time in five games at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse that the Cavaliers failed to cover the spread. 

The Pacers have won each of their last home three games both SU and ATS, all of which listed them as the betting favorites. Tuesday is the fifth time in 2024-25 that they're an underdog in their own backyard, having gone 3-2 SU and ATS under those circumstances. Their ongoing six-game winning streak is currently the second-longest in the Association behind the Sacramento Kings at seven, which has bumped them into fifth place in the Eastern Conference and back over the .500 mark at 22-18. 

Now Cleveland has prevailed in five-straight road games with five successful covers, all of which were by double-digit margins of victory. Its 12-4 road record ATS ranks first overall, but Indiana has also covered two out of three times this season when an underdog of seven or more points, which includes its win on Sunday. 

Riding a wave of momentum and having just beaten the Cavaliers by 15 on the road, the Pacers have earned enough respect to warrant wagering on them to at least cover on Tuesday. Even though we've seen it once already with Cleveland falling twice in three days to the Atlanta Hawks in late November, it's still hard to imagine it happening again knowing the road warrior mentality it has and not wanting to give Indiana a mental advantage. 

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Three of the four meetings last season between the Cavaliers and Pacers reached an OVER on 233 total points, and while the last game only hit 201, that can be attributed to Cleveland's lousy efficiency which is unlikely to be replicated this time around.

Both teams rank in the top eight in the OVER/UNDER market for a reason, so expect the scoreboard to be full of offensive production unlike last time. The OVER has also hit in five of the Cavaliers' last six road games, as well. 

For more on this matchup, be sure to check out Odds Shark's expert picks by clicking here.

The Canadian guard led the Pacers in scoring on Sunday with 19 points on 7-of-11 shooting, which was tied for his second-most points of the campaign. However, it was only the first time in his last seven appearances and just the sixth time in 25 total games that Andrew Nembhard reached an OVER on a combined prop of 20.5 points and assists. 

Nembhard hasn't strung together consecutive outings of double-digit scoring during Indiana's winning streak either. 

For more on this matchup, be sure to check out Odds Shark's expert picks by clicking here.