The Phoenix Suns (26-5 SU, 17-14 ATS) are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS over their last five games. The Suns will try to extend their winning streak in a matchup between the NBA’s two top teams this Christmas Day when they host the Golden State Warriors (26-6 SU, 20-10-2 ATS)
- Date/Time: December 25, 5:00 p.m. ET
- Arena: Footprint Center
- TV Coverage: ABC
- Sportsbook Odds: Suns -4.5 | O/U 228.5 points (Line History)
- Warriors vs. Suns (Matchup Report)
Sportsbook Odds Analysis
The Suns opened as 4.5-point home favorites in this matchup and have been bet up slightly to Phoenix -5. The total has taken a severe dip down to 218 points after originally Sportsbook before the season started at 228.5 points. The UNDER is 6-0 in Golden State’s last six road games against Phoenix.
Golden State News & Notes
Stephen Curry had a sensational game in Thursday’s 113-104 Golden State win at home over the Memphis Grizzlies. Curry went 8-for-14 from three-point range and hit all 12 of his free throw attempts to record 46 points in the victory. Curry is now averaging 27.7 points per game this season, second in NBA scoring only to Kevin Durant’s 29.7 points per game.
The Warriors are a strong road team at 10-4 SU and 7-6-1 ATS, but compared to their 16-2 SU and 13-4-1 ATS record at home, Golden State’s road play still leaves something to be desired. The importance of home court has been evident in this head-to-head series this season as the Suns beat the Warriors 104-96 in Phoenix but lost to the Warriors 118-96 three nights later in San Francisco.
Phoenix News & Notes
The Suns rolled to a comfortable 113-101 win at home against the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday night but failed to cover the spread for the first time in its last five games as a 15-point favorite. Devin Booker recorded 30 points with seven rebounds and seven assists over the Thunder. Phoenix is 20-0 SU in the last 20 games that Booker has played in.
The defending Western Conference champions enter Christmas Day with the NBA’s best record at 26-5 SU, its third-best scoring offense averaging 111.8 points per game and its fourth-best scoring defense allowing only 104 points per game. Phoenix managed to keep things afloat while Devin Booker was out with his hamstring injury with a 5-2 SU and 3-4 ATS, but with him back in the lineup the Suns once again look like an unstoppable powerhouse.
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How Golden State Will Cover
Curry went 3-for-14 from three-point range and scored 12 points in Phoenix’s win over Golden State this season and 6-for-11 from behind the arc with 23 points in the Warriors’ win. Golden State needs a big game from Curry to cover the spread against a team as good as Phoenix on the road.
How Phoenix Will Cover
The Suns are so dominant on both sides of the court that winning often simply comes down to playing to their potential. With this game coming at home and in primetime in a marquee matchup against the Warriors on Christmas Day, it’s fair to assume we’ll be seeing Phoenix’s best effort on Saturday.
Computer Pick: Suns -5.5
- Best Spread-110-110GS+3.5-3.5PHO
- Best Moneyline+200-240GSPHO
- Best Total-105-110Over215.5228.5Under
You can see more NBA predictions for Christmas Day over at our NBA Computer Picks page.
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Buy Sports Picks Now- Golden State is 9-5 SU in its last 14 games as an underdog.
- Phoenix is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games.
- The UNDER is 14-4 in Golden State’s last 18 road games.
