The Golden State Warriors have barely had to break a sweat in their Western Conference final series with the San Antonio Spurs, and the Dubs — who hold a 3-0 series lead — can clinch a third straight trip to the NBA Finals when they visit AT&T Center for Game 4 on Monday. Sportsbooks opened the Warriors as 11-point road favorites with a total of 216.5.
- The Spurs are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games after consecutive ATS losses.
- The Warriors are 10-0 SU and ATS in their last 10 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in the Spurs' last five games after consecutive losses.
The Spurs put forth a better effort at home in Game 3 but still suffered a 120-108 setback. The absence of superstar Kawhi Leonard, who went down with an ankle injury in the series opener, has essentially taken the wind out of San Antonio’s sails and, with it, any real shot of them pushing the stacked Warriors. After all, no team in NBA history has ever come back from a 3-0 deficit to win the series.
Popovich called it “likely” that Leonard will miss Game 4, and forward David Lee is likely to sit out as well after suffering a partial tear of his left patella tendon. In their places, the Spurs will be forced to lean on the ageless Manu Ginobili and second-year guard Jonathon Simmons, who is starting in place of Leonard.
The newest addition to the Warriors, Kevin Durant, has been blossoming without the defensive star Leonard around. Durant took control of Game 3 with 19 of his 33 points in the third quarter and went 11-for-19 from the floor to mark his fifth straight playoff game shooting 50 percent or better. His teammate Stephen Curry is also dominating right now, as the point guard is averaging 30 points on 55.6 percent shooting in the first three games of the series.
OVER bettors continue to profit when these teams get together, evidenced by the OVER going a perfect 4-0 in the last four meetings between the squads.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Those looking to pick the visitors as their prediction to cover in this one found the Golden State Warriors listed as -10-point favorites earlier at Sportsbook. Meanwhile, the OVER/UNDER total betting line for this game was set at 216.5 at Sportsbook but may have moved since the betting odds opened.
Odds Shark computer score prediction models pick a possible 116-103 win for the Warriors on Monday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NBA matchups here.
Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Golden State Warriors will try to spoil the party on Monday; they are 47-42-4 ATS against the betting spread this NBA season, while the San Antonio Spurs are 49-46-2 ATS. Golden State is 40-53 vs the betting total points scored; San Antonio is 57-40. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and San Antonio vs Golden State injuries news.
According to the betting Power Rankings at Odds Shark, it's the No. 5-rated San Antonio Spurs and the No. 1-rated Warriors in this NBA basketball matchup.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively the game matches up San Antonio's No. 14-ranked offense (105.52 PPG) against a Golden State Warriors defense that ranks No. 10 at 103.85 PPG. The San Antonio Spurs have averaged 46.88% from the field per game, less than the Golden State Warriors have managed so far this NBA season (49.49% on average).
Recent Outings Betting Recap
The Warriors got a 33-point performance from Kevin Durant as Golden State handed San Antonio a 120-108 defeat on Saturday at AT&T Center.
- Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
- Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
- Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
- San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
- San Antonio is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
- The total has gone OVER in 11 of San Antonio's last 13 games
- San Antonio is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Golden State home to San Antonio, Wednesday, May 24th
