The Houston Rockets have been a dominant force since the Sportsbook tip of the 2017-18 season but opened as 12-point underdogs vs the Golden State Warriors in Game 6 tonight. The Rockets haven’t been a double-digit dog since December 2016, which coincidentally was also against the Warriors. But with point guard Chris Paul out of the lineup due to a hamstring injury, Houston could be a very tough sell to knock off Golden State tonight especially since the Dubs had won 16 straight playoff games at Oracle Arena prior to the Game 2 upset by the Rockets.
- Houston is 15-9 SU in 26 games with Chris Paul out of the lineup this season.
- Golden State is 36-6 SU in 42 playoff home games since Steve Kerr became the head coach.
- The total has gone UNDER in five of the last six games in this matchup.
Chris Paul’s absence cannot be overstated for how much it could influence tonight’s outcome. Paul was the driving force for the Rockets victories in Games 4 and 5 that saw him score 47 points combined while hitting 9 of 18 three-pointers. His leadership and clutch scoring took the pressure off of MVP favorite James Harden, who looked tentative at times and finished the last two games shooting an ugly 3 for 23 from deep.
Game 6 will be a true legacy test for Harden as he has a chance to wash away the stench of coming up small in past postseason appearances and lead the Rockets to its first NBA Finals since 1995. If bettors think Harden and the Rockets live up to that potential, they should know that Houston is 4-2 SU and ATS in six road playoff games this season.
As for the Warriors, they have their own injury issues to deal with as Andre Iguodala has missed the last two games of the series with a knee injury while Klay Thompson has been dealing with a sore knee from a collision in Game 4.
Although the Warriors have plenty of talent to rely on other than Iggy and Klay, what should be concerning for the Dubs is how uncharacteristically poor they’ve shot in the last two games. The Warriors were 22 for 64 from three-point range and scored a combined 34 points total in the last two fourth quarters. If you’re planning to back Golden State tonight, be aware that they’re 7-13 against the spread in their last 20 home games of faves of 12 points or more.
The total opened at 212.5 and UNDER bettors have been cashing in on this series as the UNDER has hit in four of the five games with an average combined score of 209.8 points per game.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Odds makers at Sportsbook opened the Golden State Warriors as -10.5-point favorites in this betting matchup earlier today, while the OVER/UNDER betting line was sitting around 213.5 earlier at Sportsbook.
Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 106-104 victory for the Warriors. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NBA matchups here.
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Golden State Warriors bring a 68-29 record (41-55-1 ATS) to the battle against the 76-21 Houston Rockets, who are 50-45-2 ATS. Fans OVER/UNDER betting have seen Golden State Warriors go 45-51-1 so far and the Houston Rockets go 39-57-1. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Golden State vs Houston injuries news.
The Golden State Warriors sit at No. 22 in the current NBA Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Houston Rockets are at No. 3 on that betting chart.
Statistical Matchup
In rebounding, the battle of the boards features Golden State's No. 13-rated NBA squad against Houston's No. 18-rated roster. When it comes to long-range shooting, Golden State rates No. 9 in the league with 11.11 per game, while their foes tonight rank No. 1 with 15.07 per outing.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
- Houston is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
- Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
- Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
- Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
- Golden State is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games
- Golden State is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Houston home to Golden State, Monday, May 28th
