Home court has been advantageous in the season series between these Eastern Conference foes through the first three games, and the Pistons open as a home-court favorite tonight with Brooklyn, Miami and Orlando all breathing down their neck. The Sportsbook total is quite low for this game at 207.
Standout Stats
- The OVER has hit in all three meetings this season with an average combined score of 216 points. Indiana is scoring 104.9 points per game over its last 15 games while Detroit is scoring 107.7.
- Indiana’s opponents are scoring 107.1 points per game during the last 15-game stretch; Detroit’s opponents are scoring 106.5. Additionally, the OVER has hit in nine of the Pistons’ last 11 home games.
- Blake Griffin is questionable to play in this game. Detroit is 1-4 SU and ATS in its last five games without Griffin in the lineup, including Monday night’s 111-102 loss to the Pacers in Indiana.
- The Pacers prevailed on Monday despite being without starting guards Darren Collison and Wesley Matthews. Indiana shot 54.5 percent from the field in that game, dominating inside with Griffin out of the lineup. Indiana has lost just two of 22 games when shooting better than 52.5 percent from the floor.
- Detroit is allowing 57.3 opponent points in the paint per game in its last three. Only Denver and Phoenix have been worse during that span. Indiana is scoring 51.3 points per game in the paint in its last three games.
- Both teams are in the bottom eight in scoring offense and the top eight of scoring defense.
- Detroit is 4-1 SU and ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less in the 2019 calendar year, including a 113-109 win vs Indiana on February 25. The Pistons are 25-13 on home court, including a 5-2 record vs the Central Division.
- Indiana is 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog. Additionally, Indiana is 1-6 ATS on the road vs the Central Division, including 0-5 ATS in its last five games in that spot.
My Best Bet for Pacers vs Pistons
OVER 207 Total Points
Why mess with a good thing? The OVER has hit in each of the meetings between these teams in 2018-19 and these teams are trending OVER this number in terms of total points in recent games.
Ironically, I think this total has a better chance of going OVER if Blake Griffin is ruled out. I’ve got to think that if he’s able to play, he will, as Detroit has yet to clinch a playoff spot.
The OVER has hit in all three meetings this season with an average combined score of 216 points. Detroit is allowing 57.3 opponent points in the paint per game in its last three games (28th).home Indiana is 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog.away
