The AT&T Center in San Antonio has been a friendly home for the Spurs. They’ve won 12 games SU as the favorite on their home court while going 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games there. San Antonio opened as a 2.5-point favorite against the visiting Indiana Pacers, who are coming off a 91-point performance in Minnesota on Monday. The Sportsbook total of 212 ties a season low for the Spurs, who have hit the OVER in all three outings.
- The Spurs are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games at home.
- The Pacers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after an ATS loss.
- The Spurs are 24-6 ATS in their last 30 home games as a favorite of 2.5 points or less.
Points APlenty in Spurs Games
The San Antonio Spurs are 3-0 on OVER bets this season as they are fifth-best in the league in points scored per game but fourth-worst in scoring defense, an excellent recipe for totals betting success. The Spurs are averaging 121 points after a 143-point outburst in LA on Monday night.
At the defensive end of the floor, Gregg Popovich’s team has been better than only LA, Sacramento and Cleveland – hardly the benchmark that the U.S. Olympic coach wants to set for his charges. They’ll have a chance to better that number as the Pacers bring their 21st-ranked scoring offense to Texas.
Indy Taking the Opposite Approach
The Pacers may have the 21st-ranked scoring offense but they also have a +5.3-point scoring differential through four games – good for seventh in the Association. San Antonio’s points differential is -2.7.
The Spurs’ other opponents this season, Minnesota and Portland, are both among the top teams in this statistic, and really, it’s still early in the season to rely on such factors.
My Picks for This Game
I like the Spurs to cover the 2.5-point spread and for these teams to hit the OVER. San Antonio’s 121 points per game looks to be beyond the scope of the offense that Indiana is able to respond with. Additionally, this is the lowest spread between these teams since 2004.
San Antonio and Indiana are first and third respectively in three-point shooting percentage. The Spurs are an impressive 47 percent from beyond the arc while Indiana is hitting at a 42.6 percent rate from three-point land.
Only seven teams in the entire league are above 40 percent in this statistic, so a 212 total seems low for these teams, who are also in the top half of the league in field-goal percentage.
