The fourth matchup on the NBA's Christmas Day schedule features the Los Angeles Lakers visiting the Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors, and oddsmakers at FanDuel Sportsbook have the Warriors as the five-point betting favorites playing in their backyard on Wednesday night.
Here's a spread, moneyline, total, and player prop expert pick for this Pacific Division showdown on December 25, 2024.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds
Preview: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors, 8 p.m. ET
| Team | Spread | Money | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers | +5 (-112) | +160 | O 228.5 (-110) |
| Golden State Warriors | -5 (-108) | -190 | U 228.5 (-110) |
Odds as of December 24, 2024 at FanDuel
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors Expert Picks
Los Angeles Lakers ATS +5 (-112), ML (+160)
The red-hot start of the Warriors to kick off the regular season feels like a fading memory as the team is now plagued with inconsistencies on both ends, questions about roster construction and rotations, and whether or not a blockbuster trade is required to right the ship. Golden State has just three victories SU since Nov. 23 and hasn't won consecutive games in its last 13 attempts to fall to 15-13 SU overall, good enough for eighth in the Western Conference - but just barely.
Home cooking hasn't cured what ails them either, as the Warriors are just 2-5 SU in their last seven tries with three successful covers. They'll now face a Lakers team that just had its three-game winning streak SU snapped and is only half a game ahead of Golden State in the standings.
The Warriors have won the last three meetings with Los Angeles, all of which came last season with two coming by at least 14 points. These are different times, though, and the Lakers may be a touch more desperate to achieve victory than the opposition currently. The visitors have also covered in three of their last four games away from Crypto.com Arena, and those three covers came by shorter spreads than the one Los Angeles is facing on Wednesday.
The moneyline being at plus money for the Lakers is also enough to help project an upset here. It was back in 2019 when the road team last prevailed more times than the home side on Christmas, so Los Angeles will need to buck the trend here.
UNDER 228.5 Total Points (-110)
Three of the four games between the Lakers and Warriors reached an OVER last season, but Los Angeles has hit an UNDER in three consecutive road games, and both teams currently rank in the bottom-third of the league in offense per 100 possessions over their last six games, respectively.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors Player Prop
LeBron James To Achieve A Triple-Double (+600)
Competing against the Warriors has historically brought the best out of LeBron James, which rang especially true in 2023-24 when he averaged a ridiculous triple-double of 36.3 points, 11.7 rebounds, and 10.6 assists across three meetings.
We're working for a big payoff here by anticipating an actual triple-double for the 39-year-old forward, who just recorded one on Monday in a loss to the Detroit Pistons with a line of 28-11-11. Who knows how many more Christmas games we're getting out of the four-time league Most Valuable Player, so James may look to maximize his production here with another memorable holiday showcase and his ninth triple-double of the season.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Trends
- Anthony Davis has failed to exceed 25.5 points in five of his last six games on the road (18.7 points/game average).
- Buddy Hield has exceeded 2.5 rebounds in eight of his last nine games (3.3 rebounds/game average).
- Stephen Curry has failed to exceed 5.5 1Q points in seven of his last nine games (3.4 1Q points/game average).
*all betting trends courtesy of Outlier
