Heat vs 76ers Picks & Betting: Philadelphia Favored To Even Up Series At Home

The Miami Heat (59-31, 51-38-1 ATS) take on the Philadelphia 76ers (56-35, 43-47-1) at Wells Fargo Center on Sunday in Game 4 of their second round series. Can Philadelphia tie the series at two games apiece? Find out in our Heat vs 76ers prediction.

Heat vs 76ers Odds & Analysis

Sportsbook Odds 

The Sixers opened as a two-point favorite for Game 4 with the total set at 206.5 points. The UNDER is 7-1 in Miami’s last eight games and 6-2 in Philadelphia’s last eight. Philadelphia is 6-1 in its last seven home contests and should still be riding the high of a big Game 3 win, making them the favorite in our Heat vs 76ers prediction.

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Heat Fall Apart Offensively In Game 3 Loss

Miami fell apart in the fourth quarter as they dropped Game 3 to Philadelphia by a score of 99-79. The Heat trailed 68-65 going into the final frame but were outscored 31-14 in the period to give the Sixers life in the series. Jimmy Butler led Miami with 33 points and nine rebounds while Tyler Herro (14 points) was the only other player to score in double digits.

While the big story of the game was the return of Joel Embiid, it wasn’t the MVP candidate that was Miami’s undoing. Instead, the Heat struggled to get scoring from anyone but Butler, shooting 27-for-77 from the field – a paltry 35.1 percent.

Gabe Vincent (knee), Kyle Lowry (hamstring), Herro (ankle), Max Strus (hamstring), PJ Tucker (calf) and Caleb Martin (ankle) are questionable for Game 4.

76ers Get Back Into Series With Embiid’s Return

Embiid only scored 18 points and 11 rebounds but his surprising return to the lineup seemed to reinvigorate the Sixers, who looked defeated through the first two games of the series without their leader. Danny Green and Tyrese Maxey each scored 21 points to lead Philadelphia in the win.

Although they didn’t score a ton of points, it was a big bounce back performance for Philadelphia’s offense, particularly from long range. The Sixers shot just 8-for-30 from three in Game 2 but went 16-for-33 in Game 3, led by Green who dropped 7-of-9 from beyond the arc. 

Embiid (orbital) is questionable for Sunday’s matchup.

Heat vs 76ers Pick & Insights

Heat: Keys to Cover

Miami has prided itself on offensive depth this season but there wasn’t much of that to go around in Game 3 as Butler did virtually all of the scoring on his own. The Heat will need a lot more from Herro, Bam Adebayo, Lowry and company if they’re going to keep a lead in the series.

76ers: Keys to Cover

While Embiid wasn’t as dominant as his usual self, the Sixers got strong performances from Maxey and Green to make up the difference. Embiid’s presence as an offensive threat makes Philadelphia much more dangerous, which should open up more chances for the rest of the offense.

Odds Shark’s Computer Heat vs 76ers Prediction: 76ers -2

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