Giannis Antetokounmpo & Bucks open as slight favorites on road in Golden State on March 12, 2022.

Bucks vs Warriors Picks & Prediction: Surging Bucks Slim Favorites Over Warriors

The Milwaukee Bucks (42-25, 31-36 ATS) will look to keep their win streak alive when they visit the Golden State Warriors (45-22, 33-30-4) on Saturday at Chase Center. Milwaukee has won six straight contests while Golden State is 2-5 over its last seven games. Can Milwaukee hand the hosts just their eighth loss of the season at Chase Center? Find out in our Bucks vs Warriors prediction.  

Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors
  • Date/Time: March 12, 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Chase Center
  • TV Coverage: ABC
  • Sportsbook Odds: Bucks -1 | O/U 230.5 (Line History)
  • Bucks vs Warriors Matchup Report

Bucks vs Warriors Odds & Analysis

Sportsbook Odds

The Bucks opened as a somewhat surprising one-point favorite on the road over the Warriors with the total set at 230.5 points. The OVER is 11-3 in Milwaukee’s last 14 games and 9-3 in Golden State’s last 12. Milwaukee is the hotter team right now and also owns the edge in recent meetings, winning three of the last four contests against Golden State. With such a tight spread and the teams so evenly matched, there’s no easy pick in this Bucks vs Warriors prediction.

Get the best Bucks vs Warriors odds and lines available from our recommended sportsbooks for your favorite picks of the night.

  • Best Spread
    -116
    -102
    MIL-2
    +2GS
  • Best Moneyline
    -136
    +120
    MIL
    GS
  • Best Total
    - -
    -105
    Over
    238Under

Antetokounmpo Scores 40-Plus To Lead Bucks’ Super-Charged Offense

Milwaukee defeated the Atlanta Hawks 124-115 in their last outing on Wednesday thanks to a monster 43-point, 12-rebound performance from Giannis Antetokounmpo. Khris Middleton and Bobby Portis added 23 points each in the win while Trae Young had 27 points and 11 assists to lead Atlanta.

Antetokounmpo has been on a tear over his last five games, averaging 32.6 points and 13 rebounds in the month of March. The reigning Finals MVP is scoring 29.7 points per game this season, tied with Joel Embiid of the Philadelphia 76ers for first in the NBA. Antetokounmpo’s run has powered the Bucks offense through its six-game win streak as the club is averaging 127.7 points over that span.

George Hill (neck) and Lindell Wigginton (ankle) are out for Saturday’s game.

Warriors Beat Nuggets For First Time In Four Tries

The Warriors scored 13 unanswered points to close out the game and earn a 113-102 win over the Denver Nuggets on Thursday. Steph Curry dropped 34 points to lead all scorers, including 24 in the second half, while Jordan Poole added 21 points and Jonathan Kuminga scored 18 in just 22 minutes off the bench. Nikola Jokic had 23 points and 12 rebounds for another double-double in a losing effort.

It was an important victory for the Warriors, who picked up their first win over the Nuggets this season after dropping the first three meetings. The triumph also marked Golden State’s second consecutive win following a five-game losing skid – the team’s only winless streak longer than two games this season.

Otto Porter Jr. (illness), Gary Payton II (knee) and Andre Iguodala (back) are out.

Bucks vs Warriors Pick & Insights

Bucks: Keys to Cover

Milwaukee has found another gear offensively over this last stretch with players like Middleton and Portis providing a big boost alongside Antetokounmpo. Giannis scored 30 points in the first meeting of the season on January 13 in a 118-99 Bucks win with Middleton and Portis adding 23 and 20, respectively. If those three can keep rolling, Milwaukee should come out ahead.

Warriors: Keys to Cover

The Warriors need a lot more from Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins, who are averaging just 14.6 and 12.7 points, respectively, over their last 10 outings. It’s no coincidence that Golden State is 3-7 over that stretch, falling to third in the Western Conference. If the Warriors are going to return to form, they’ll need to give Curry a lot more support.

Odds Shark’s Computer Bucks vs Warriors Prediction: Bucks -1.5

Check out more of Odds Shark’s signature NBA and NCAAB computer picks, plus our favorite sportsbooks that serve up basketball customers.

Shark Bites
  • Milwaukee is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings
  • Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Golden State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games

See Our Most Trusted NBA Sportsbooks

Back to Top