The two best spread teams in the NBA will lock horns tonight when the Milwaukee Bucks face the Sacramento Kings. The Bucks and Kings have a combined 71-45-4 ATS record but it’s the Kings who have been superior as a spread bet at home with a 21-8-1 ATS record. But while the spreads are impressive, totals bettors should also pay attention to the total that opened at 233 because the OVER has hit in the last 12 games in this matchup.
The Bucks opened as 5-point favorites to get the win at the Golden 1 Center.
STANDOUT STATS
- The Kings are 13-7-1 ATS in 21 games as a home underdog. They’re also 4-1-1 ATS in six games as home underdogs of 5 points or more.
- The Bucks are 10-1-1 ATS in 12 road games this season when faves of 5 points or more. They’ve also covered the spread in their last eight road games.
- In February, the Bucks rank fifth in points allowed per game (107.5), second in opponent field-goal percentage and ninth in opponent three-point percentage.
- The Kings are 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games at home.
- The Bucks are 17-3 SU and 12-7-1 in their last 20 games overall.
- The total has gone OVER in the Bucks’ last 12 games vs the Kings (avg. combined score: 221.25).
My Best Bet for Bucks vs Kings
Bucks -5
I wanted to take the OVER in this one but these two offenses have slowed down recently and 233 points is a lot to ask for. I also can’t bet against the best team in the NBA. The Bucks have been dominant on the road by covering the spread in their last eight road games and while the Kings are a nice story, I think the Bucks are the better overall team and can keep up with the fast pace of the Kings. The spread trends/stats are overwhelmingly in favor of the Bucks so I have to ride with them in this spot.
