Suns vs Mavericks Prediction & Odds: Dallas Hopes Return Home Will Turn The Tide

Dallas (56-34 SU, 52-36-2 ATS) has won eight of its last nine games at American Airlines Center, going 7-2 ATS in the process. The Mavs need that home success to continue tonight against the sharpshooting Suns (70-20, 50-40), but Phoenix is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 visits to Big D.

Suns vs Mavericks Odds & Analysis

Sportsbook Odds 

After making the Suns 6-point favorites in each of the first two games in Phoenix, oddsmakers opened them as 1-point chalk for Game 3 in Dallas. The Mavericks are 6-3 SU and ATS in their last nine games as underdogs at home, including a pair of upset victories in Round 1 against Utah.

Books may also be anticipating the OVER being a popular Suns vs Mavericks prediction tonight, Sportsbook the total at a series-high 219.5 after each of the first two games soared OVER the total by 20-plus points.

Get the best Suns vs Mavericks odds and lines available from our recommended sportsbooks for your favorite picks of the night.

Suns Continued Hot Shooting With Franchise-Record Performance In Game 2

Following a balanced scoring effort that saw six different players score in double figures in Game 1, Phoenix relied a bit more heavily on its star duo of Devin Booker and Chris Paul in Tuesday’s 129-109 victory. Booker broke out of a mini-shooting slump to lead the Suns with 30 points, while Paul added 28 — half of them coming in the fourth quarter.

Phoenix was lights-out as a team in the final frame, hitting 16 of its 19 shots from the field to turn a six-point lead after three quarters into a 20-point blowout. The Suns finished the game shooting a franchise playoff-record 64.5 percent from the field and have hit at least 50 percent of their shots in all eight of their playoff games this spring.

Dallas Has Been Stellar Defensively At Home All Season, But Needs Better Start

The Mavericks hope a return home to American Airlines Center will help them turn the series around after a pair of lopsided losses in Phoenix. Dallas is 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in its last nine games at home, where the Mavs are allowing just 101.5 points per game on the season and have gone UNDER the total in 31 of 44 games.

“The mood is fine ... We are going to go back home, our crowd is amazing,” Luka Doncic told the Associated Press after Game 2. In order for that crowd to be a factor, however, Dallas needs to get off to a stronger start than it has so far in this series. Phoenix has opened each of the last two games with a 9-0 run.

Jalen Brunson and Spencer Dinwiddie also need to find their shooting stroke after being held to 41 points combined on 32 percent shooting through the first two games. Those 41 points are nearly half of what Doncic has scored in this series (80).

“We can’t win with just him out there,” head coach Jason Kidd told the AP. “We’ve got to get other guys going.”

Suns vs Mavericks Pick & Insights

Suns: Keys To Cover

Phoenix may have a psychological edge over Dallas after winning each of the last 11 meetings, and the Suns are also 13-3 ATS in their last 16 visits to Dallas. With this point spread in a range where a Suns SU victory should also mean a Suns cover, Phoenix will be a popular Suns vs Mavericks prediction tonight.

Mavericks: Keys To Cover

Any hopes the Mavs have of winning this series hinge on tonight’s result, so expect Dallas to bring max effort and intensity. If Dallas can avoid another slow start and keep the crowd on its side, the tenacious defense the Mavericks typically play at home could be enough to get them back into this series.

Odds Shark’s Computer Suns vs Mavericks Prediction: Suns -110 ML

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