The Dallas Mavericks may be one of the worst statistical teams in the NBA since the all-star break but they certainly know how to reward bettors when tabbed as an underdog at American Airlines Arena. The Mavs are 12-3 ATS in 15 home games this season in that spot and will look to reward bettors again when they host the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs have been a red flag on the road all season and have dropped seven of their last 10 away games.
The Spurs opened as 5-point faves with a total of 218.5.
Spurs vs Mavericks Game Center
STANDOUT STATS
- The Mavericks are 1-8 SU and 3-6 ATS in nine games since the all-star break. In that span, they’ve allowed 115.1 points per game (rated 20th) while allowing opponents to shoot 38 percent (rated 26th) from three-point range on 37.4 attempts (ranked 28th).
- Dallas is 9-6 SU and 12-3 ATS in 15 home games as an underdog this season.
- Luka Doncic is questionable coming into this game with a knee injury. That’s bad news for the Mavs as they’re one of the worst offenses in the NBA since the all-star break. They rank last in the league in points scored (102.9) and 29th in field-goal percentage and 28th in three-point percentage. They’re also 1-3 SU and ATS in four games without Doncic in the lineup, with the three losses coming by double digits.
- The Spurs are 3-7 SU and ATS in their last 10 road games. In those games, they went 3-1 SU and ATS vs teams below .500 and 0-6 SU and ATS vs teams above .500.
- In the Spurs’ road games, they’re giving up 8.9 more points per game compared to home games. They allow the same number of three-point attempts in both home and away games but opponents shoot five percentage points better from behind the arc away from San Antonio.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of the Spurs’ last 12 games on the road (avg. combined score: 230.75).
My Best Bet for Spurs vs Mavericks
Spurs -5
I’m overlooking the Spurs’ inability to cover the spread in road games mainly because this is a cupcake matchup for them. The Mavericks have been horrendous since the all-star break both offensively and defensively and the trades from earlier this season have gutted the roster to the point that their second-leading scorer is now Dwight Powell at 9.8 points per game. The Spurs have won five straight games with wins over teams like the Thunder, Nuggets and Bucks so playing a team like the Mavs should be a cakewalk.
