The Toronto Raptors are starting to look like the same team we saw in the first half of the regular season and they own a 3-2 series lead against the Milwaukee Bucks as a result. With a win in Game 6 on Thursday, the Raps can advance to the second round for the second consecutive year. Sportsbooks opened the Bucks as 1.5-point home favorites with a total of 194.5.
- The Raptors are 15-4 SU in their last 19 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Bucks' last 10 games.
- The Raptors are 7-2 SU in their last nine games on the road against the Bucks.
Superstars Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan are doing their thing for Toronto, but an unlikely hero has emerged as the difference-maker in this series. Norman Powell, a 2015 second-round pick, was inserted into the starting lineup and made all three of his 3-pointers in a Game 4 win, then erupted at home in Game 5 to the tune of 25 points. Toronto has notched back-to-back double-digit wins after losing by 27 at Milwaukee in Game 3.
Milwaukee hasn’t fared well in Game 6s at home in recent years, which includes a 120-66 loss to Chicago in 2014 and an 83-69 setback against Atlanta in 2010. On the flip side, however, the Raptors are 0-4 SU in Game 6s in franchise history. Giannis Antetokounmpo is indisputably the best player on the Bucks, but he hasn’t played nearly as well at home as he has on the road in the series. The Greek Freak is averaging 16.5 points at home in the series compared to 27.3 in Canada.
The UNDER is cashing when the Dinos hit the road, evidenced by the OVER/UNDER going 2-8 in Toronto’s last 10 away from home.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Milwaukee Bucks opened as -1.5-point favorites at online sportsbook Sportsbook, while the NBA total line was sitting around 194 at Sportsbook for those who prefer OVER/UNDER betting on the total amount of points scored.
Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 104-88 result in favor of the Raptors. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NBA matchups here.
Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Toronto Raptors will look to vanquish their hosts on Thursday, as they are 46-39-2 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Milwaukee Bucks are 39-48 ATS. Toronto is 46-40-1 against the points scored total betting line, while Milwaukee is 45-41-1 versus the line. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Milwaukee vs Toronto injuries news.
The Bucks - Raptors betting odds would favor the Raptors if the lines were set according to power rankings. Milwaukee is rated No. 18 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Toronto Raptors sit at No. 8.
Statistical Matchup
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Toronto Raptors rank No. 19 in the league with 43.14 per game. That compares with Milwaukee's No. 29 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Milwaukee is the NBA's No. 22-ranked team at 8.82 per game, while the Toronto Raptors rate No. 21 with 8.82 per contest.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
- Toronto is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
- Toronto is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
- Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games
- Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
- Milwaukee is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Toronto home to Milwaukee, Saturday, April 29th
