I've got two MLB same-game parlay legs today for an AL West battle of Angels vs Mariners. The Mariners have let their AL West lead slip away, losing five of their last six games. I'm predicting another Seattle loss tonight as part of my MLB same-game parlay.
I'm only picking two legs for this parlay, but that's because I'm so confident in those two picks that I didn't wanna spoil things with a third selection. Read up on the complete Angels vs Mariners same-game parlay today here:
Angels vs Mariners Same-Game Parlay Today
Angels vs Mariners Odds - 9:40 p.m. ET
Bet | Odds |
---|---|
Zach Neto Over 0.5 Hits | -130 |
Angels Moneyline | +140 |
Overall | +236 |
Angels vs Mariners Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 1: Zach Neto Over 0.5 Hits
I honestly do not get this -130 line for Neto to get a hit tonight. The instant I saw this, it was a must-bet for me. For starters, Neto is hitting .260 on the season, which is already pretty solid. But, the Angels infielder has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball lately.
He's hitting .500 in the last week and has 14 hits in his last 10 games (including four multi-hit games). Only six batters in baseball have a higher average than Neto over the last week of games.
The Angels batter has hits in 61 of 96 contests, which is a 63.5% clip. This -130 line implies a 56.5% likelihood of a Neto hit, so there's clearly some value there. Seattle starter Bryce Miller is good, for sure, but he's allowed at least five hits in his last five starts and has a 3.63 ERA. So, he's not good enough to warrant this wonky line on a Neto hit.
Neto has faced the Mariners seven times this season and has hits in five of those contests.
Angels vs Mariners Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 2: Angels Moneyline
The Angels may not be buyers at the trade deadline, but they're certainly playing better than the Mariners these days. Los Angeles is 5-3 in their last eight (including three wins over Seattle), while the Mariners are 3-5 in that same stretch. Seattle has won just one of its last six contests.
The Mariners may be five-games over .500 right now, but they're 6-9 in July so far. If you bet Seattle for each of their 14 July contests, you'd be down -3.5 units.
Now, Seattle draws a tough matchup against Angels starter Tyler Anderson. The LA lefty has allowed three or fewer runs in seven of his last 10 starts, rocking a 2.97 ERA on the season. Anderson's actually allowed one or zero runs in six of those starts, too. Anderson is the only Angels starter with at least a .500 record and the only one with over six quality starts, too.
Against a Seattle offense that ranks 28th in runs scored and 30th in hits, Anderson's gonna be a tough matchup. The Mariners also rank fifth-worst in team OPS against lefties, too, with a .216 collective average and .672 OPS.
If you're looking for a third leg for this SGP, I'd take the Mariners team run total UNDER 3.5 — but I couldn't find a major book that allowed me to parlay that with these two legs. So, I'm sticking with two for today.