I love the matchup of my MLB same-game parlay, tonight. We've got Justin Steele going for the Cubs and Logan Webb pitching for the Giants, two of the NL's best.
Here are the three legs for my Giants vs Cubs same-game parlay:
Giants vs Cubs Same-Game Parlay: June 18th
The Game: Giants vs Cubs - 8:05 p.m. ET
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Giants Moneyline | -104 |
| Logan Webb Over 4.5 Ks | -210 |
| Under 9.5 Total Runs | +100 |
| Overall | +380 |
Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 1: Giants Moneyline
Over the last two weeks, the Cubs own the eighth-lowest team OPS in baseball (.660). They're averaging just 3.65 runs per game during that stretch, over 1.3 runs LESS than the Giants.
I'm going to get into it below, but I think Logan Webb is a decided edge for the Giants in this one, too. Webb is 2-1 in three career starts against the Cubs and has held current Cubs to just two homers in 80 career at-bats.
History is also on our side here. In the last three years, the Giants are 12-8 against the Cubs.
Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 2: Logan Webb O4.5 Ks
Diving in on Webb here, I think he's going to own the Cubs. I just mentioned how cold Chicago's batting order is, but they also suck against Webb, in general. In 80 career at-bats against Webb, current Cubs hitters have a .225 average and .654 OPS.
The standard strikeout line for Webb tonight is O/U 5.5. I could see that going over, but I feel much safer at an alternate line of over 4.5. Webb has had five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight games, averaging six strikeouts per start during that time.
Webb also owns two key batters for the Cubs in Dansby Swanson and Cody Bellinger. Both Chicago batters own career batting averages under .210 against Webb in 15+ at-bats. Bellinger is -250 to get a hit tonight, but I wouldn't be touching that bet.
Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 3: Under 9.5 Total Runs
Okay, so I think Logan Webb is going to shove and help the Giants get a win here. But, I wouldn't count out a strong start from Chicago's Justin Steele, too.
After a rough start to the year, Steele has lowered his ERA to 3.22 with just two earned runs allowed in his last four starts, combined. In his last five starts, Steele has struck out 30 batters to just eight walks and one homer. I think the starters get us to an easy under in this one, even if Webb pitches just a bit better.
If one thing is going to ruin this under for us, it's probably the bullpens. Both the Cubs (4.49) and Giants (4.32) own bottom-10 reliever ERAs this season.
