MLB Expert Picks July 9

MLB Expert Picks Today: Take The Twins On The Runline

Both my MLB picks fell short by a single run yesterday, so I'm back with two more MLB expert picks today for Tuesday's slate — hoping to actually convert a winner. 

I'm eying up a pair of hot pitchers in Jose Quintana (Mets) and Bailey Ober (Twins) to lift me to victory. Here are my two MLB expert picks for today:

MLB Expert Pick Today: Mets (-130) vs Nationals

Nationals vs Mets Odds - Game Time: 7:11 pm ET

Jose Quintana has been surprisingly solid this season, rocking a 4.22 ERA. But lately, he's been even better. The New York lefty hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in nine-straight outings and the Mets have won four of his last five starts.

He faces the same Nationals team tonight that he completely owned last week. Quintana pitched seven shutout innings, allowing just four hits to Washington batters. That dominance is nothing new for Quintana, too. In his career, the lefty has held current Nats batters to a .235 collective average and .567 OPS in 68 career at-bats. He just owns this lineup.

The Mets are also on a hot streak in general lately, winning 12 of their last 20 games (+3.45 units). The Nats, on the other hand, are just 5-10 in their last 15.

MLB Expert Pick Today: Twins -1.5 (+105) vs White Sox

Twins vs White Sox Odds - Game Time: 8:11 pm ET

If you thought Quintana was hot, just wait until you hear about Bailey Ober. The Twins righty has allowed just four total earned runs across his last four starts (27.1 IP). He's struck out 35 batters to just five walks in that stretch, too. The Twins have won four of Ober's last five starts and he's dropped his season ERA a full point in that run.

Now, the big Minnesota pitcher has a chance to stay hot. Ober faces a White Sox lineup that sucks in general and sucks against him, too. Ober has held current White Sox batters to a .247 career average and .652 OPS in 97 at-bats. Chicago batters also have a .221 average and .634 OPS in general this season, good for second-worst in baseball on both marks.

The White Sox are baseball's worst moneyline team, but I'm looking at a runline bet tonight. Chicago is third-worst in baseball in that market covering just 42 of 93 games. Only the Mariners and Marlins have worse runline records this year.

Back to Top