Let's hone in for a hump day MLB same-game parlay. The Orioles have already taken the first two games in this AL East series against the Blue Jays and I don't expect them to stop here.
Backing Baltimore, here are the three legs for my Orioles vs Blue Jays same-game parlay:
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Orioles vs Blue Jays Same-Game Parlay: June 5th
The Game: Blue Jays vs Orioles - 7:07 p.m. ET
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Orioles Moneyline | +112 |
| Over 8.5 Total Runs | +100 |
| Jose Berrios Under 5.5 Ks | -168 |
| Overall | +410 |
Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 1: Orioles Moneyline
The Orioles are currently tearing through the bottom of the AL East. They've played all East teams over the last eight days, rocking a 6-2 record over that stretch. I see no reason they aren't adding another win tonight. The Orioles are 44-24 against the AL East over the last two seasons.
I'll get into it more below, but this is a great pitching matchup for Baltimore's offense. They've scored at least six runs in four of their last six games and have put up 17 runs on Toronto in the first two games of this series. The Orioles haven't lost a game when scoring at least five runs since April 28th.
Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 2: Over 8.5 Runs
Jose Berrios really struggles against these Orioles hitters. He's faced current Baltimore batters a whopping 189 times in his career, and the O's bats own a .270 average and an .854 OPS against the Blue Jays starter in those at-bats. The 13 homers Berrios has allowed to current Baltimore batters are the most of any pitcher vs lineup today.
Now, the Orioles have 34-year-old Albert Suarez pitching for them with his nice little 1.57 ERA. But, I'm not sure that's going to hold up. Suarez's FIP is over a run higher than his ERA this year and the righty had a 5.87 ERA in Triple-A before he was called up to Baltimore. I think the Orioles can do most of the heavy lifting to hit this over (they've scored at least seven runs in their last two games) but the Jays should push us over the top.
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Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 3: Jose Berrios Under 5.5 Ks
I don't think Berrios is going to last very long in this one, as Baltimore batters tee off against him. But, even if he does, I don't think he's gonna rack up strikeouts. Berrios has struck out just 35 Baltimore batters in his 189 at-bats against current O's, good for a lowly 18% strikeout rate — would be the lowest in MLB. In his last two starts against Baltimore, Berrios hasn't struck out more than four batters.
