The World Series keeps chugging, and I have a preview of Game 4 of the 2024 Fall Classic between the Dodgers and Yankees.
Despite a three-game deficit, the Yankees are -142 favorites for Game 4 at FanDuel, with the Dodgers +120 underdogs. The total is set at OVER 8.5 runs with the OVER juiced at -115.
It's a bullpen game for the Dodgers, and rookie Luis Gil starts for New York.
Here's a preview and some of my top picks for World Series Game 4:
Dodgers vs Yankees Game 4 Odds
Dodgers vs Yankees, Oct. 29, 8:09 pm ET
| Team | Runline | Moneyline | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | -1.5 (+140) | -142 | O 8.5 (-115) |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | +1.5 (-170) | +120 | U 8.5 (-105) |
As of October 29th at FanDuel
Dodgers vs Yankees Pick - Game 4
Dodgers ML (+120)
Again, I don't see how the Yanks can be favored in this contest. Sure, the Dodgers are rocking a bullpen day, but New York's offense has been so frail and incoherent that I could succeed on the mound right now.
Los Angeles poured on the pressure in basically every single inning of action Game 3. Freddie Freeman homered in the first inning, and L.A. never looked back. Alex Verdugo's ninth-inning bomb made things close, but New York's lineup has not been able to succeed beyond one standout performance per game. Unlike the Dodgers, the Yankees order is never firing on all cylinders, which is why I'm fading them in Game 4.
Not only is Aaron Judge a liability right now, he has sucked the confidence out of the rest of this Yanks lineup. The atmosphere at Yankee Stadium is turbulent, too, as Judge received some boos in his final at-bat.
Bullpen day or not, Los Angeles has a massive momentum edge, so I won't get in their way ahead of a potential sweep here in Game 4.
Dodgers vs Yankees Game 4 Key Matchup
Luis Gil vs the top of the Dodgers order
Shohei Ohtani is big-time hurt, to the point I'm not even sure he could pick up a base hit if he tried. That helps Gil, especially in that first inning, but then the gauntlet begins. The Yanks rookie must carve through Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, and then Teoscar Hernandez, who has picked up a hit in each game this series.
Gil led MLB with 77 walks this year, and the Dodgers exercised patience in Game 3, working six walks as a team. I'll bet Ohtani walks to start the game and chaos ensues.
Dodgers vs Yankees Player Prop Pick
Shohei Ohtani UNDER 0.5 Total Bases (+175)
Walks don't count for this prop, so we're good.
Every swing makes Ohtani wince, and when he runs, he has to hold that aching shoulder up like it’s in a sling. I’m fading him for Game 4 after his hitless Game 3. Dave Roberts might even bench him or pull him early, and with these odds, it's worth betting against an injured hitter who’s only managed one hit in the series.
The Dodgers look set to win the Fall Classic, but it’s rough seeing Ohtani less than 100%. It doesn’t really matter who’s pitching for the Yanks — Ohtani might walk, but I doubt he gets a hit with that bum shoulder.
Dodgers vs Yankees Betting Trends
- LA Dodgers are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Yankees' last 19 games played in October.
- Tommy Edman has cashed the OVER 0.5 total bases in eight of the last nine games.
