Tyrese Haliburton, Pacers

Pacers vs Warriors Picks & Odds Today: Indiana Underdogs Despite Winning Streak

Oddsmakers at FanDuel are being scrooges by listing the red-hot Indiana Pacers as the 5.5-point underdogs on the road Monday night against the Golden State Warriors, who've struggled to pick up victories as of late.

Here's a spread, moneyline, total, and player prop expert pick for this East vs. West matchup at the Chase Center on December 23, 2024.

Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds

Preview: Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors, 10 p.m. ET

TeamSpreadMoneyTotal
Indiana Pacers+5.5 (-110)+184O 230.5 (-110)
Golden State Warriors-5.5 (-110)-220U 230.5 (-110)

Odds as of December 23, 2024 at FanDuel

Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors Expert Picks

Indiana Pacers ATS +5.5 (-110), ML (+184)

Stringing together victories in the Eastern Conference can make a world of difference with such a tight field, and while the Pacers may still be below the .500 mark at 14-15 SU, a four-game winning streak has vaulted the team to within just half a game of the No. 6 seed and 3.5 games back of the No. 4 seed. Indiana has ranked fourth overall in offense (119.9 points per 100 possessions) and seventh in defense (104.8 points allowed per 100 possessions) during this stretch, having prevailed each time by a minimum of nine points. 

Golden State, on the other hand, is heading in the opposite direction over in the West, having won just three games SU since Nov. 23 with a 15-12 record SU. It's quite the fall from grace after opening the campaign at 12-3 SU, and the team's two most recent wins have come against a Minnesota Timberwolves squad that's a game below them in the standings.

After dropping eight-straight games away from Gainbridge Fieldhouse, the Pacers have gotten into a groove on the road and won four-straight times while covering the spread each time, and each of the last three instances came as an underdog. This includes a blowout 122-95 win over the Sacramento Kings on Sunday night, and being on no rest for this tilt with the Warriors, it should help that head coach Rick Carlisle didn't have to play any of his key guys substantial minutes. 

Indiana has defeated Golden State in four of its last five meetings SU, and considering the home team hasn't notched consecutive wins in over a month, and with the Pacers carrying some momentum for the first time in a while, the plus money seems far more favorable here.

OVER 230.5 Total Points

While three of the last four games between these teams have gone UNDER, two of those results would have still reached an OVER on the total prop of 230.5 points which bettors are receiving for Monday.

Both offenses are hovering around the middle of the Association statistically, but they seem to bring the best out of each other when taking the hardwood, so let's ride an OVER here and hope the scoreboard shows us some love here.

Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors Player Prop

Tyrese Haliburton OVER 8.5 Assists (+102)

The Warriors sit 21st in assists allowed to point guards across the league at 9.22 per contest, and Tyrese Haliburton has reached the OVER in three of his last four appearances, as well. He also hasn't finished with fewer than eight dimes in his last seven outings, so even when he's UNDER, Haliburton remains right on the cusp of reaching. 

The 24-year-old floor general registered 11 assists twice in 2023-24 versus Golden State, so the plus-money odds have tremendous upside here.

Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

  • Myles Turner has excceded 14.5 points + assists in five of his last six games on the road (16.2 points + assists/game average).
  • Andrew Wiggins has failed to exceed 3.5 rebounds in six of his last seven games (3.3 rebounds/game average).
  • Obi Toppin has exceeded 5.5 rebounds + assists in seven of his last eight games on the road (8.8 rebounds + assists/game average). 

*all betting trends courtesy of Outlier 

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