Week 3 in the college football regular season saw a sort of return to the mean. Notre Dame proved it was better than its 0-2 start suggested with a 24-17 win over the California Golden Bears. Oregon looked the part taking down BYU 41-20.
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With Week 3 behind us, let’s turn our attention to this weekend’s slate of games by focusing on some of the betting trends.
The college football betting trends are just one way to help you make an educated guess about who might win or which quarterback will have a huge day. It’s a compilation of stats and notes that might help you make that key bet and hit your wagers.
College Football Betting Trends Week 4
Wisconsin at Ohio State
Ohio State is an 18-point favorite heading into this matchup. Straight up, Ohio State is 38-2 over its last 40 games as the favorite and 10-0 as the favorite at home. They should win over the Badgers. But Ohio State rarely covers.
Ohio State is 1-4 in its last five against the spread as the favorite and 1-3 ATS as the favorite at home over the last four games. Looking at the trends, there should be no doubt that the Buckeyes win but they probably won’t cover.
Clemson at Wake Forest
The Tigers are 13-0 SU in their last 13 against Wake Forest with an average score differential of +27.69. Against the spread, Clemson is 3-1 in its last four vs Wake Forest.
This weekend’s game has Clemson as a 7-point favorite. Based on the recent history between the two teams, Clemson should not only win but cover easily.
Notre Dame at North Carolina
Notre Dame is dominant in this matchup. The Fighting Irish are 4-0 SU in their last four against North Carolina, 3-0 ATS vs the Tar Heels and 5-0 as the favorite against North Carolina. They’ll likely win yet again, especially after last week’s victory.
Given the way this matchup has gone recently, there’s a real chance to make some money here. The Fighting Irish are currently listed at +105 at sportsbook Sportsbook. A $100 bet would net a $105 profit.
Here’s a look at the betting trends for our featured games:
College Football Betting Trends
- Wisconsin is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games as the underdog (average score margin: -7.33).
- Wisconsin is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in Wisconsin’s last 3 games as the underdog (average combined score: 46.0).
- Ohio State is 38-2 SU in its last 40 games as the favorite (average score margin: 26.22).
- Ohio State is 10-0 SU in its last 10 home games as the favorite (average score margin: 31.1).
- Ohio State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as the favorite.
- Ohio State is 1-3 ATS in its last 4 home games as the favorite.
- Clemson is 13-0 SU in its last 13 games vs Wake Forest (average score margin: 27.69).
- Clemson is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 games vs Wake Forest.
- The total has gone OVER in 3 of Clemson’s last 4 games on the road vs Wake Forest (average combined score: 54.5).
- The total has gone UNDER in Wake Forest’s last 8 home games as the underdog (average combined score: 53.5).
- The total has gone UNDER in 3 of Arkansas’ last 4 games as the underdog vs Texas A&M (average combined score: 50.5).
- The total has gone UNDER in 3 of Arkansas’ last 4 games vs Texas A&M (average combined score: 50.5).
- Arkansas is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games as the underdog vs Texas A&M (average score margin: -11.4).
- Arkansas is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games as the underdog vs Texas A&M.
- Notre Dame is 4-0 SU in its last 4 games vs North Carolina (average score margin: 13.5).
- Notre Dame is 3-0 ATS in its last 3 games vs North Carolina.
- Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games as the favorite vs North Carolina (average score margin: 14.6).
- Notre Dame is 3-0 ATS in its last 3 games as the favorite vs North Carolina.
- North Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home games as the underdog.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida’s last 6 games as the underdog (average combined score: 66.83).
- Florida is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games in Week 4.
- Tennessee is 3-0 ATS in its last 3 games.
- The total has gone OVER in Tennessee’s last 5 games at home (average combined score: 67.2).
- USC is 3-0 SU in its last 3 games (average score margin: 31.0).
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of USC’s last 7 games as the favorite (average combined score: 68.14).
- Oregon State is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games at home (average score margin: 17.57).
