The Texas Christian Horned Frogs now sit at an ugly 4-4 after losing two straight games and will have to upset the 13th-ranked Baylor Bears on Saturday if they hope to salvage their season. As the second-highest ranked team in their conference, the Bears cannot afford a loss to the Horned Frogs as the NCAAF schedule starts to wind down.
- TCU is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against its conference.
- Baylor is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games after losing as a favorite.
- The total has gone UNDER in TCU's last 6 games after a loss.
TCU took last year’s contest with a 28-21 effort but the Frogs are a completely different team this season. Quarterback transfer Kenny Hill has not been the leader he was expected to be and the Horned Frogs have fallen on the wrong side of three extremely close games against teams they were expected to beat.
Baylor opened as the significant favorite in this game and for good reason. TCU has covered just once in eight tries this season and the Bears have lost just once. Despite its stellar straight-up record this season, Baylor has not been covering spreads either. The Bears have been favorites of 10 points or less just twice this year, going 1-1 ATS and SU in those games with their most recent game meeting that criteria coming in their 35-34 Week 10 loss to the Longhorns that happened to be their first SU loss of the season.
The computer likes the Bears by a couple of touchdowns in this one and with Texas Christian struggling to cover against conference opponents this year, a Baylor home win and cover might be looming.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
The visiting TCU Horned Frogs opened as 9-point underdogs in this one at Sportsbook and most sportsbooks tracked here at Odds Shark. No total had been posted as of writing time check the live lines pages in the coming days to see where the number opened.
Handicapping prediction models run by the computers at Odds Shark pick a 44-30 result in favor of the Bears. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.
TCU Horned Frogs vs Baylor Bears Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
Baylor battles the TCU Horned Frogs, currently with a 4-4 mark (1-7 ATS). The over under records, important for totals betting, are 1-6 for the Bears and 3-5 for the TCU Horned Frogs. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Baylor vs TCU injuries news.
According to the Power Rankings here at Odds Shark it's the No. 26-rated Baylor Bears and the No. 40-rated TCU Horned Frogs in this matchup.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively, the game matches up the Baylor Bears No. 11-ranked offense (42.29 PPG) against a TCU Horned Frogs defense that ranks No. 86 at 30.12 PPG. The Baylor Bears passing attack has averaged 260.57 yards per game, more than the TCU Horned Frogs give up through the air (259.5 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the TCU Horned Frogs own the league's No. 23-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 118.67 yards per game when on the road. Baylor, on the other hand, rates No. 26 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
The Horned Frogs suffered a Week 9 loss against Texas Tech in their last game, falling 27-24 at Amon Carter Stadium.
Terence Williams tore up the turf for 180 rushing yards in the latest Bears game, a 35-34 loss to the Longhorns at Memorial Stadium.
- Texas Christian is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
- Texas Christian is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas Christian's last 6 games
- Texas Christian is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
- Baylor is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
- Baylor is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baylor's last 7 games
- Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
TCU home to Oklahoma State, Saturday, November 19th
Baylor at Oklahoma, Saturday, November 12th
