Texas vs Texas A&M

Texas vs Texas A&M Odds & Picks Week 14: The Lone Star Showdown

The last time Texas and Texas A&M played in college football, Ryan Tannehill was the quarterback for the Aggies and Justin Tucker was the kicker for the Longhorns. That was in 2011, before Texas A&M joined the SEC—putting this Lone Star State rivalry on hiatus until Saturday, when it’s resumed at Kyle Field in College Station, where new SEC member Texas is a 6-point road favorite.

There’s plenty at stake, with the winner set to face Georgia in the SEC championship game. Although Texas enters at 10-1 overall, with its lone loss to the Bulldogs last month, both teams have been awful of late against the spread. The Longhorns have covered just two of their last seven, the Aggies just three times all season. Texas A&M was upset in four overtimes at 2.5-point underdog Auburn last week.

Texas vs Texas A&M Odds - Week 14

Texas vs Texas A&M, Week 14, November 30 @ 7:30 p.m. ET

Texas vs Texas A&M Odds
TeamSpreadMoneylineTotals
Texas-5.5 (-110)-210O48.5 (-110)
Texas A&M+5.5 (-110)+172U48.5 (-110)

As of November 25th

Texas vs Texas A&M Picks Week 14

Texas A&M covered in a road victory at Florida, and at home in wins over Missouri and LSU, and that’s it for the Aggies as far as ATS success this season. Texas A&M’s cover rate of 27.3 percent is tied for fifth-worst nationally, according to data at TeamRankings.com. Against the two best opponents they’ve played so far this season, the final scores weren’t close—Texas A&M fell at home to Notre Dame 23-13, and was routed at South Carolina 44-20.

And Texas is better than either of those teams, at least on paper. The Longhorns cleaned up against a weak non-conference schedule, but against most SEC foes have managed to win comfortably while not exactly looking dominant at the same time. But that 10-1 record does speak for itself, and there are no glaring, head-scratching losses—like the one their rivals from College Station took last week.

Texas A&M just doesn’t pass the eye test as a playoff-caliber team—good as he is, freshman quarterback Marcel Reed sometimes plays like a freshman, and when Auburn can land 65-yard bombs against your pass defense, you have issues. The Longhorns meanwhile continue to take care of business, and you take them against a single-digit point spread when you can.

Texas vs Texas A&M Week 14 Pick: Texas -5.5

Texas A&M has gone OVER in five of its past six games, thanks to a defense that ranks 11th in the SEC overall and 12th against the pass. Texas has gone UNDER in five of its last seven behind the top defense in the league. This is a low total for both these teams, and the prospect of Texas’ passing game against that suspect Aggies defense nudges us toward the OVER.

Texas vs Texas A&M Week 14 Pick: OVER 48.5

Texas vs Texas A&M Prop Bet: Matthew Golden Anytime TD

Golden has emerged late in the season a potent weapon in a Texas offense full of great skill-position players. The junior wide receiver has caught five touchdown passes over his past four games, two each against Arkansas and Florida. Ewers likes to spread the ball around, so expect more targets for Golden against a Texas A&M secondary that will likely be depending on backups at key positions.

Texas vs Texas A&M News

Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers suffered a sprained ankle on a scramble last week against Kentucky, but according to SB Nation a cautionary MRI taken Sunday did not reveal any structural damage. The injury will not prevent Ewers from playing against Texas A&M, Orangebloods reported. Meanwhile, Texas A&M starting cornerbacks Will Lee and Jaydon Hill both went out with injuries against Auburn, according to Gig’Em Gazette, further depleting the Aggies’ pass defense.

Texas vs Texas A&M Betting Trends

  • Texas is 2-5 ATS this season in SEC games

  • Texas A&M is 2-4 ATS this season as a home favorite

  • Texas has gone UNDER in five of seven SEC games this season

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