Two teams very much alive in the national championship game race collide in the SEC Championship Game, when favored Auburn takes on Missouri on Saturday in the Georgia Dome.
Auburn is coming off a remarkable win over Alabama and has won and covered in eight straight games. Gus Malzahn’s Tigers are 11-1 straight-up and 9-2 against the spread and they opened as small chalk at Sportsbook.
Missouri reached the SEC Championship Game in only its second season in the conference. Gary Pinkel’s Tigers are 11-1 straight-up and against the spread. They knocked off Texas A&M to clinch the SEC East title.
Auburn leads the SEC and is fifth in the nation in rushing offense. Missouri is second in the SEC and 14th in the nation in rushing defense. Auburn has won 11 straight as favorites and covered the spread eight times in that span.
This season the Tigers are 10-1 overall and 9-2 ATS against the number, while the Tigers are 11-1 and 11-1 ATS. As for the totals, Auburn is 6-5 on the OU, and Missouri is 6-6.
View Missouri Tigers vs Auburn Tigers Odds and Stats.
Those siding with the visitors in this one saw Auburn listed as 2-point favorites earlier this week at Sportsbook. Meanwhile, the over under line was 62 in early SEC title game betting at Sportsbook.
This game matches up the No. 22 (Tigers) and the No. 14 (Tigers) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 32-29 upset result in favor of the Missouri Tigers is predicted by handicapping models.
Recent SEC championship game history
| Year | Date | 'Away' | 'Home' | Sportsbook | Home line | ATS | Total | OU | ||
| 1996 | 07/12/1996 | Alabama | 30 | Florida | 45 | FLA | -14 | FLA | 49.5 | O |
| 1997 | 06/12/1997 | Tennessee | 30 | Auburn | 29 | TENN | 7.5 | AUBRN | 58 | O |
| 1998 | 05/12/1998 | Mississippi State | 14 | Tennessee | 24 | TENN | -15 | MIS.ST | 48 | U |
| 1999 | 04/12/1999 | Florida | 7 | Alabama | 34 | ALAB | 7.5 | ALAB | 51 | U |
| 2000 | 02/12/2000 | Auburn | 6 | Florida | 28 | FLA | -9.5 | FLA | 52.5 | U |
| 2001 | 08/12/2001 | Tennessee | 20 | LSU | 31 | LSU | -7 | LSU | 54 | U |
| 2002 | 07/12/2002 | Arkansas | 3 | Georgia | 30 | GEORGI | -9 | GEORGI | 47 | U |
| 2003 | 06/12/2003 | Georgia | 13 | LSU | 34 | LSU | -3 | LSU | 42 | O |
| 2004 | 04/12/2004 | Tennessee | 28 | Auburn | 38 | AUBRN | -14.5 | TENN | 47 | O |
| 2005 | 03/12/2005 | LSU | 14 | Georgia | 34 | GEORGI | 2 | GEORGI | 41.5 | O |
| 2006 | 02/12/2006 | Arkansas | 28 | Florida | 38 | FLA | -3 | FLA | 45 | O |
| 2007 | 01/12/2007 | Tennessee | 14 | LSU | 21 | LSU | -7 | Push | 58.5 | U |
| 2008 | 06/12/2008 | Alabama | 20 | Florida | 31 | FLA | -10 | FLA | 54 | U |
| 2009 | 05/12/2009 | Florida | 13 | Alabama | 32 | ALAB | 5 | ALAB | 41 | O |
| 2010 | 04/12/2010 | Auburn | 56 | South Carolina | 17 | AUBRN | 3.5 | AUBRN | 61.5 | O |
| 2011 | 03/12/2011 | Georgia | 10 | LSU | 42 | LSU | -12 | LSU | 46.5 | O |
| 2012 | 01/12/2012 | Alabama | 32 | Georgia | 28 | ALAB | 9 | GEORGI | 48.5 | O |
Missouri was a 28-21 Sportsbook in its last match at home against Texas A&M. They covered the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 49 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. In their last game, Auburn got a 164-yard performance from Tre Mason as a key part of its 34-28 win over Alabama.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Auburn's No. 17-ranked offense (38.58 PPG) against a Tigers defense that ranks No. 14 at 19.42 PPG. The Tigers passing attack has averaged 172.75 yards per game, less than the Tigers give up through the air (265.5 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Tigers own the league's No. 24-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 130.4 yards per game when on the road. Auburn, on the other hand, rates No. 5 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Tigers at Tigers trends to consider:
Missouri is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Missouri is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games
Auburn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Auburn's last 7 games
