The Duke Blue Devils (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS) are 4-1 SU and ATS over their last five games heading into the Military Bowl against the UCF Knights (9-4, 7-6) on December 28. The Blue Devils will look to end their season on a high note with a win as a bowl game favorite in Annapolis, Maryland.
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- Date/Time: December 28, 2 p.m. ET
- Stadium: Jack Stephens Field at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
- TV Coverage: ESPN
- Sportsbook Military Bowl Odds: UCF -2.5 | O/U 59.5
- UCF vs Duke Betting Matchup Report
Military Bowl Sportsbook Odds
The Knights opened as 2.5-point favorites in the Military Bowl before heavy action on the Blue Devils flipped the UCF vs Duke odds to make Duke a 3-point favorite. The total has climbed up to 62.5 points since Sportsbook at 59.5 points. The OVER is 6-1 in Duke’s last seven games played in December.
Get the best Military Bowl odds and lines available from our recommended sportsbooks for your favorite picks of the night.
- Best Spread-109-110UCF+3-3DUKE
- Best Moneyline+140-150UCFDUKE
- Best Total- --103Over62.5Under
Latest Betting Notes: UCF
The Knights earned a spot in the AAC championship game with a 6-2 SU record in conference play, but they fell short of a conference title with a 45-28 loss to the Tulane Green Wave as 3.5-point underdogs. UCF opened its season with an 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS run before closing it out with a 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS record over its last three games.
Senior quarterback John Rhys Plumlee had 2,404 passing yards, 14 touchdown passes and seven interceptions this season as well as 841 rushing yards and 11 rushing scores. The Knights have closed as underdogs eight times since the start of the 2018 season and are 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS in those eight games.
Latest Betting Notes: Duke
Duke wrapped up its regular season on a high note with a 34-31 win at home over the Wake Forest Demon Deacons as a 3-point underdog. That was the Blue Devils’ second outright upset over their season-ending 4-1 SU and ATS run, with the first coming in a 45-21 road win over the Miami Hurricanes as 10-point underdogs.
Sophomore quarterback Riley Leonard played well in his first full season as the starting quarterback in 2021-22. Leonard compiled 2,795 passing yards, 20 touchdown passes and six interceptions while also racking up 636 rushing yards and 11 rushing majors. Leonard went 29-for-41 with 391 passing yards and four scoring strikes in the win over Wake Forest.
Keys To Victory: UCF
UCF’s defense struggled over the second half of the season, allowing 30.7 points per game over its last seven games. With nearly a month to prepare for the Military Bowl, the Knights will likely need to show significant improvement on defense to pick up a win as a UCF vs Duke prediction in Maryland.
Keys To Victory: Duke
Duke enters bowl season with plenty of confidence after a strong stretch run to end the season. As long as the month off in between games doesn’t cool the Blue Devils off, their recent form on offense should position them to get the job done as a UCF vs Duke pick.
Military Bowl Computer Pick: UCF +3
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- UCF is 15-5 SU over its last 20 games.
- Duke is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 bowl games.
- The OVER is 4-1 in UCF’s last 5 games.
