Mateusz Gamrot is usually a heavy favorite in his fights, and his -335 chalk status follows that trend as he takes on Dan Hooker (+250 underdog). While the Gamrot vs Hooker odds suggest a one-sided fight, we'll see how it all goes down at UFC 305 on August 17.
Gamrot vs Hooker Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Mateusz Gamrot | -335 |
| Dan Hooker | +250 |
Odds as of August 16
Our odds calculator suggests Gamrot's -335 status awards him a 77.01% implied chance of victory, with a $100 bet paying out $128.95. At +250 odds, Hooker gets a 28.57% chance and a $100 bet cashes $350.
Gamrot vs Hooker Props
| Method Of Victory | Gamrot | Hooker |
|---|---|---|
| By Decision | -135 | +550 |
| By KO/TKO/DQ | +700 | +850 |
| By Submission | +500 | +1600 |
| Total Rounds | OVER | UNDER |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | -500 | +330 |
| 2.5 | -275 | +200 |
| Will The Fight Go The Distance? | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | -240 |
| No | +180 |
UFC 305 Predictions: How Gamrot Wins
"Gamer" is the king of scrambles, flashing his elite wrestling talents as early as his unanimous decision win vs Arman Tsarukyan in 2022. Like most takedown spammers, he has excellent cardio and flexibility, ensuring he can adapt to (and overcome) his opponent's various forms of takedown defense.
Hooker can hang in there as a wrestler, but he's nowhere close to Gamrot's level. The Polish native will get Hooker down and keep him there, so it'll be up to Hooker to take advantage of striking exchanges, where he'll have a sizeable advantage.
Gamrot won't wobble Hooker, but he can work around his strikes for a victory via control time. He defeated Jalin Turner with his creative wrestling, and I'll bet he takes care of Hooker by a three-round decision.
UFC 305 Predictions: How Hooker Wins
Is it enough to, say, "be a dog?"
Fans love Hooker for his scrappy nature, and the Aussie has quite the hill to climb in these 15 minutes against Gamrot. He'll need to stuff takedowns and fire knees up the middle to shake Gamrot off his game. Remember, Beneil Dariush found success against Gamrot by throwing heavy strikes when Gamrot advanced either with a takedown attempt of a leg kick.
If I'm betting Hooker, his +250 value is fine. I don't think we'll see a stoppage in this fight, so if you're really fired up (and greedy), you can bet Hooker to win by decision.
Gamrot vs Hooker Best Bets
I'll be taking Gamrot to win this fight by decision. Additionally, I'll assess the value of a prop involving this fight to do the distance. Depending on the odds, that secondary bet will end up as either parlay fodder or a standalone bet.
