I rattled off a 7-1 (+6.42 units) streak with my props last week, so let's start off this week with two more MLB player prop pick winners today.
I'm going back to the recipe that did me right all last week: one hitter prop, one pitcher strikeout prop. With eyes on Chris Flexen and Steven Kwan, here are my two best MLB player props today:
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MLB Prop Pick Today: Chris Flexen Under 3.5 Ks (+105)
Twins vs White Sox Odds - Game Time: 8:11 pm ET
Let's put this simply: Chris Flexen isn't very good. He's 2-7 with a 5.08 ERA on the season, with the White Sox winning just one of his 18 outings on the year. But, the righty also doesn't strike many people out. The Chicago starter has gone OVER 3.5 strikeouts in just one of his last five outings.
Tonight, Flexen faces off against a Twins team that's as hard to strike out as any in baseball. Since the start of June, Minnesota's lineup has the second-lowest strikeout rate in baseball (17.6%). The last two times Flexen faced off against the Tigers, he struck out just two and three batters in the outings, respectively.
You can bet against the White Sox in general (always a good call), but with the Twins favored at -180 tonight I think fading Flexen's strikeouts is the smarter way to go about it.
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MLB Prop Pick Today: Steven Kwan 1.5 Hits (+145)
Guardians vs Tigers Odds - Game Time: 6:50 pm ET
Steven Kwan is as safe of a bet to get a hit as anyone in MLB (so let's bet on him getting two!). The outfielder is hitting .364 on the season and is still slapping the ball around well lately. In the last week, Kwan has eight hits in 25 at-bats, good for a .320 average and .906 OPS.
The Guardians face off against Detroit starter Keider Montero tonight. The young starter should present plenty of opportunity for hits, as he's allowed 16 hits in three outings (15 IP) this season. In those three outings, eight separate opposing players have recorded multi-hit games. The Tigers 23-year-old was also allowing plenty of hits before his MLB promotion too, rocking a 9.7 H/9 in Triple-A this year.
Kwan has had a multi-hit game 27 times this season (in 62 contests), and the Guardians are 20-7 when Kwan snags a couple knocks. So, backing a big day from Kwan only makes my expert pick of the Guardians (-148) even more solid.
