NFL Football - Power Rankings

Team Mitch Bannon Rank OS Computer Rank Power Schedule Adjusted Power
Detroit13+59.000.49+28.91
Kansas City24+18.100.47+8.51
Buffalo310+29.570.49+14.46
Philadelphia48+30.910.38+11.75
Pittsburgh516+15.680.45+7.06
Baltimore61+29.820.53+15.91
Minnesota714+16.070.47+7.55
Green Bay86+23.770.50+11.89
LA Chargers918+14.430.53+7.65
Houston105+4.480.51+2.29
Washington1112+25.630.47+12.05
Denver1220+23.310.49+11.40
San Francisco132+1.200.56+0.67
Arizona1428+1.250.53+0.66
Atlanta159-8.070.53-3.83
LA Rams1621-11.570.50-5.78
Seattle1717+3.650.51+1.87
Cincinnati1823+3.280.52+1.71
Miami197-7.290.45-4.01
Indianapolis2027-14.130.52-6.78
Tampa Bay2119+3.900.62+2.43
Chicago2213-5.680.50-2.84
New Orleans2329-14.900.54-6.79
NY Jets2415-1.930.57-0.84
New England2531-28.660.36-18.27
Carolina2632-38.640.48-20.09
Dallas2711-34.640.58-14.55
Cleveland2822-20.390.48-10.60
Jacksonville2926-40.010.59-16.40
Las Vegas3025-29.180.56-12.97
NY Giants3130-22.850.48-11.93
Tennessee3224-23.460.58-9.85

NFL Power Rankings Notes:

The above power rankings include Mitch Bannon's personal power rankings after Week 12 as well as the 'combined power ranking' generated by our computer, based on data from the 2024-25 season, so far.

Here is where Mitch disagrees with the computer most:

Most Overrated Team: Dallas Cowboys

Somebody has to inform our computer rankings that the Dallas Cowboys suck. I don't care that they pulled a rabbit out of the hat and somehow beat the Commanders, this Dallas team is NOT the 11th-best team in football, as our computer rankings seem to think.

Even with Dak Prescott healthy, this Dallas team stunk, rocking a 3-5 record in their first eight games. Now, without Dak for the rest of the season, they're a bottom-feeder — good for maybe one or two more wins all year. Turns out, making basically zero improvements to this roster in the offseason wasn't a good strategy.

The latest Super Bowl odds clearly agree with me over our computer, as Dallas currently sits at +75000 to win the title this year, 25th on the odds list. I have them 26th in power rankings.

Most Underrated Team: Buffalo Bills

The Bills are on a roll, winning six-straight games and becoming the first team in the league to topple the previously undefeated Kansas City Chiefs. They're a clear top-five team in football, and I'd argue maybe even higher.

In terms of expected wins, point differential, and expected points per play, the Bills are actually the best team in the AFC — even above the Chiefs. There's a real argument that this Buffalo squad is the second-best team in football (behind just the Lions).

The Bills are a pretty good value bet at +650 in Super Bowl odds and certainly deserve to be higher than the 10th spot our computer has them in these power rankings.

How Are Our NFL Football Power Rankings Compiled?

These power rankings show both our NFL experts' custom rankings and the computer's adjusted power ratings for an objective approach. Ranks are updated at the end of each week and are based on a rolling 10-game range. Early in the season, this date range reaches back to regular-season games of the previous year.

Standings only tell part of the story for fans who like to bet on the NFL. A first-place team may have a lousy defense but lucked into a 3-0 record by playing three teams even worse than themselves. However, beating the point spread requires the whole story – what are the stat strengths and weaknesses of each team and how can you exploit that data to find edges for your NFL bets?

Check out the NFL Football Power Rankings here at Odds Shark to get a different approach to the standings as you handicap the NFL football odds

The computer uses different sortable stats for team offense, time of possession, ATS wins, points per game, rushing and passing yard data (for both sides of the ball), turnover ratios, and many other metrics to determine these power rankings.

Of note, these NFL football rankings will be different from other power ranking systems because our computer weighs the data over a rolling 10-game date range. We don’t start from scratch in Week 1, we look back at 10 regular-season games to give a bigger sample of data and we feel it is a more accurate reflection of true power if we consider only the past 10 games.

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