NHL expert picks May 27, 2024

NHL Playoff Expert Picks & Preview: Edmonton WILL Win Game 3

We're well into the Stanley Cup playoffs now. Every day of the NHL postseason, Josie Costigan and I have you set with daily expert picks.

NHL Playoffs Betting Picks

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Rolling Records
Michel: 44-26 (+6.63 Units)
Josie: 30-36 (-5.47 Units)

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Game 3: Stars vs Oilers preview & pick
The Game: Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers, 8:30 PM ET

TeamPucklineTotalMoneyline
Dallas Stars+1.5 (-230)O5.5 (-115)+110
Edmonton Oilers-1.5 (+190)U5.5 (-105)-130

 

Michel's Take: The series is now headed to Edmonton after the Oilers got that vital road split in Dallas. I'm taking the Oilers on the moneyline tonight.

Playing at home after a loss in the playoffs, Edmonton is 2-0 SU (they're also 2-0 vs the OVER for you total bettors). Since Kris Knoblauch took over behind the bench, the Oilers are a phenomenal 31-10SU on home ice (76%).

PS: When the Oilers are at least -130 favorites at home in the regular season - like they are tonight- they've gone 26-11 (70%) and held a solid +6.8% return on investment. 

The Oilers should have taken Game 2. They led the xG battle at 3.47 to Dallas's 2.74. It was Edmonton's shooting which was a pathetic 1-for-29 (3.45%) that let them down. Edmonton had the seventh-highest home-shooting percentage in the league this season at 11.67%. The issue that lost them Game 2 shouldn't exist in Game 3. 

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