2024-25 Rocket Richard Trophy Odds: Maybe This Is Kyle Connor's Year?

The 2024-25 Rocket Richard Trophy odds board is wide open, sadly that's because of injuries to Alex Ovechkin and Auston Matthews. Oilers sniper Leon Draisaitl leads the odds board at +525 with Sam Reinhart hot on his heels at +625.

If you're looking for more value maybe look at Winnipeg's Kyle Connor and his +2900 odds.

NHL Rocket Richard Trophy Odds

Odds as of November 20 at BET99

See Our Best NHL Betting Sites Here

NHL Rocket Richard Trophy Odds Favorite: Leon Draisaitl

While Draisaitl doesn't currently lead the NHL for goals (he's one back of Ovechkin) and is tied with Sam Reinhart at 14, Drasaitl gets the edge because he plays with Connor McDavid, the best passer in the game. Since the 22-23 season, McDavid has provided the primary assist on 42% of Draisaitl's 107 goals. Playing with McJesus is a big reason why Draisailt is the favorite.

But to focus the talk back on Draisailt himself he's converting shots to goals at an incredible 26% this year, a rate that would see him score 56 goals this season. That hasn't been enough to win the Rocket Richard Trophy in the last three years but with Matthews missing a lot of time with an injury, Ovechkin week-to-week (at the time of writing) and McDavid not scoring as much as we're used to, 56 goals might be enough this year.

Rocket Richard Trophy Value Picks: Kyle Connor

Kyle Connor's odds suggest he's a massive long-shot to win this year's Rocket Richard at +2900 but with 12 goals on the year, he's only three goals back from league leader Alex Ovechkin who won't be adding to his total for the next few weeks.

Looking at Connor's underlying numbers it seems that the Jets forward is getting lucky by scoring those 12 goals on only 6.58 expected goals, but this is a luck-based game after all and sometimes to get to the top you have to get a little lucky.

Last year Matthews won the scoring title with 69 goals on 44.73 expected goals, he was lucky to score all those goals, the only difference between Matthews's luck and Connor's is that Matthews has been doing so for years so we overlook it. Maybe this is the year Kyle Connor joins the club.

Last 10 Rocket Richard Winners

Can you say “domination”? Alex Ovechkin has absolutely dominated this award for the last decade, winning it five times out of a possible 10. The torch has seemingly been passed on to Austin Matthews who has won it three times over the last four seasons.

NHL Players that have won multiple Rocket Richard Trophies

Let’s keep in mind that the Rocket trophy has only been around in the NHL since 1999 – in its 24-year lifespan, Ovi has a 37.5% share of the trophy. It makes the rest of our player’s two-time wins look like small achievements, which they’re not. The dominance of Ovechkin’s goalscoring is going to be felt in the legacy of this award forever.

NHL teams with the most Rocket Richard Trophy winners

Ovechkin accounts for every single Washington Capitals win on this table. With Ovi’s career winding down, we should see other teams on this list climb the rankings eventually (keep an eye on the Leafs), but it’ll take a while for Washington’s pride to be broken.

NHL Teams that have never had a player win the Rocket Richard Trophy

As a newer award, these teams just haven’t had the chance to win yet, especially when Ovechkin and Matthews have been hogging it recently. With so many top-class goalscorers across the league, this competition will open up slowly but surely.

NHL Rocket Richard Trophy Betting Trends

Now that Ovechkin's slowing down a bit, we've got a bit more to analyze when it comes to the Rocket. Of course, this is a newer award with less data than the others, but regardless here are a few betting trends that should help you choose the NHL's top goalscorer for the upcoming season.