Per the 2024-25 Rocket Richard Trophy odds, Leon Draisaitl is a lock to win this year's NHL scoring title with -295 odds. Draisaitl currently leads the scoring race with 35 goals, seven more than the next player on the scoring table.
William Nylander is Draisaitl's closest challenger on the odds board at a distant +850, that's a slim 10.53% implied chance of overtaking Draisailt to win the scoring race this year.
NHL Rocket Richard Trophy Odds
Player | Odds |
---|---|
Leon Draisaitl | -295 |
William Nylander | +850 |
Sam Reinhart | +1000 |
Brayden Point | +1100 |
Auston Matthews | +1700 |
Mikko Rantanen | +2000 |
Kyle Connor | +2000 |
Mark Scheifele | +2200 |
Kirill Kaprizov | +3000 |
Odds as of January 24 at
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NHL Rocket Richard Trophy Odds Favorite: Leon Draisaitl
Drasaitl is the favorite for a few reasons, the first is that he's currently leading the league with 35 goals, six more than the next-highest scorer. He's also on an incredible run with 18 goals in his last 23 games.
The second reason he's favored is that he plays with Connor McDavid, the best passer in the game. The McDavid-Draisaitl partnership has been incredibly fruitful with Connor dishing out the primary assist on 47% of Draisaitl's 128 goals since the 22-23 season. This year McJesus has the primary assists on 16 of Draitaitl's 35 goals.
Focusing the talk back on Draisailt himself he's converting shots to goals at an incredible 23% rate. With 35 goals through 48 games, he's pacing to 60 goals on the year, which should be enough to win the Rocket. Over the last three seasons, only one 60-goal scorer failed to win the Rocket, that was David Pastrnak in 22-23 when McDavid had 64 goals.
Rocket Richard Trophy Value Picks: William Nylander
According to the odds board, William Nylander has the best chance to steal the top goalscorer award from Draisaitl. With 28 goals in 49 games, Nylander would have to climb a massive hill, and quickly if he were to do so.
Currently, he's in great goal-scoring form with five goals in seven games but even if keeps that scoring rate up he's not likely to catch Draisaitl. With five in seven, Nylander is scoring 0.714 goals per game, if he does that through the remaining 33 games on the Leafs' schedule, he'd only add another 24 goals to his total. Bringing him to 52 eight shy of Draisaitl's pace.
Nylander typically cools down in the later month of the year scoring 0.35 goals in February, March, April, and May combined (non-playoff hockey obviously), but if you believe Nylander can fill that eight-goal gap be my guest to wager on him at +850.
Last 10 Rocket Richard Winners
Year | Winner | Goals Scored | Preseason Odds |
---|---|---|---|
2024 | Auston Matthews (Toronto Maple Leafs) | 69 | +300 |
2023 | Connor McDavid (Edmonton Oilers) | 64 | +1200 |
2022 | Auston Matthews (Toronto Maple Leafs) | 60 | +350 |
2021 | Auston Matthews (Toronto Maple Leafs) | 41 | +4500 |
2020 | Alex Ovechkin (Capitals), David Pastrnak (Bruins) | 48 | +550/+1600 |
2019 | Alex Ovechkin (Washington Capitals) | 51 | +650 |
2018 | Alex Ovechkin (Washington Capitals) | 49 | +500 |
2017 | Sidney Crosby (Pittsburgh Penguins) | 44 | +1400 |
2016 | Alex Ovechkin (Washington Capitals) | 50 | +250 |
2015 | Alex Ovechkin (Washington Capitals) | 53 | +300 |
Can you say “domination”? Alex Ovechkin has absolutely dominated this award for the last decade, winning it five times out of a possible 10. The torch has seemingly been passed on to Austin Matthews who has won it three times over the last four seasons.
NHL Players that have won multiple Rocket Richard Trophies
Player | # Rocket Richard Trophies Won | Years Won / Team |
---|---|---|
Alexander Ovechkin | 9 | 2008, 2009, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2018, 2019, 2020 (Washington Capitals) |
Auston Matthews | 3 | 2021, 2022, 2024 (Toronto Maple Leafs) |
Steven Stamkos | 2 | 2010, 2012 (Tampa Bay Lightning) |
Jarome Iginla | 2 | 2002, 2004 (Calgary Flames) |
Sidney Crosby | 2 | 2010, 2017 (Pittsburgh Penguins) |
Pavel Bure | 2 | 2000, 2001 (Florida Panthers) |
Mario Lemieux | 3 | 1988, 1993, 1996 (Pittsburgh Penguins) |
Connor McDavid | 3 | 2017, 2021, 2023 (Edmonton Oilers) |
Let’s keep in mind that the Rocket trophy has only been around in the NHL since 1999 – in its 24-year lifespan, Ovi has a 37.5% share of the trophy. It makes the rest of our player’s two-time wins look like small achievements, which they’re not. The dominance of Ovechkin’s goalscoring is going to be felt in the legacy of this award forever.
NHL teams with the most Rocket Richard Trophy winners
Team | # Rocket Richard Trophies Won | Most Recent Winner |
---|---|---|
Washington Capitals | 9 | Alexander Ovechkin (LW) - 2020 |
Tampa Bay Lightning | 3 | Steven Stamkos (LW) - 2012 |
Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 | Auston Matthews (C) - 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins | 2 | Sidney Crosby (C) - 2017 |
Florida Panthers | 2 | Pavel Bure (RW) - 2001 |
Calgary Flames | 2 | Jarome Iginla (RW) - 2004 |
Anaheim Ducks | 2 | Corey Perry (RW) - 2011 |
Ovechkin accounts for every single Washington Capitals win on this table. With Ovi’s career winding down, we should see other teams on this list climb the rankings eventually (keep an eye on the Leafs), but it’ll take a while for Washington’s pride to be broken.
NHL Teams that have never had a player win the Rocket Richard Trophy
- Arizona Coyotes
- Buffalo Sabres
- Carolina Hurricanes
- Chicago Blackhawks
- Dallas Stars
- Detroit Red Wings
- Los Angeles Kings
- Minnesota Wild
- Montreal Canadiens
- Nashville Predators
- New Jersey Devils
- New York Islanders
- New York Rangers
- Ottawa Senators
- Philadelphia Flyers
- Seattle Kraken
- St. Louis Blues
- Vancouver Canucks
- Vegas Golden Knights
- Winnipeg Jets
As a newer award, these teams just haven’t had the chance to win yet, especially when Ovechkin and Matthews have been hogging it recently. With so many top-class goalscorers across the league, this competition will open up slowly but surely.
NHL Rocket Richard Trophy Betting Trends
Now that Ovechkin's slowing down a bit, we've got a bit more to analyze when it comes to the Rocket. Of course, this is a newer award with less data than the others, but regardless here are a few betting trends that should help you choose the NHL's top goalscorer for the upcoming season.
- Shooting matters a lot. Of the past 10 winners, only one (Sidney Crosby in 2017) ended the year outside of the top 5 for shots on goal. You're looking for a volume shooter.
- The Rocket Richard trophy has a bit of a crossover with the Hart, having been won by the same player in six seasons – Ovi accounts for three of those times.
- Surprisingly (not), defensemen aren’t a great candidate for the Rocket Richard, having never won it.
- Nine out of ten of the previous Rocket winners have come from the East, thanks in part to Ovechkin’s dominance.