When Will Ovechkin Break Gretzky's Goal-Scoring Record

Will Alex Ovechkin Break Wayne Gretzky’s Goal-Scoring Record This Year?

Alex Ovechkin is closing in on Wayne Gretzky's absurd NHL scoring record, now sitting just six goals away from 895. But, with just a few games left in the season, will Ovi break the Great One's record?

We've got odds from Sportsbook on when Ovechkin will break Gretzky's record, as well as the method of goal and some other Ovi props:

When Will Ovechkin Break Gretzky's Record?

Ovechkin's 36 goals in 55 games put his scoring pace at 0.65 goals per game and have him sitting at 889 career goals.

If he continues this pace for the remaining 12 games of the season he'd pot another 7.8 goals, breaking the 894 Wayne Gretzky record with a few games to spare. He's starting to cut it close, but I trust Ovechkin and the Capitals to really push for this mark down the stretch. With Ovi already on pace, I think the -164 odds at Sportsbook to break Gretzky's record are a great bet. These odds might continue to move more and more in the minus money, as just a few weeks ago they were +190 for Ovi to break the record.

Will Ovechkin Break Gretzky's Record This Season?
 Odds
Yes-164
No+125

Odds as of March 27th at Sportsbook

Ovi has the time and opportunity to pile up goals before this year is over and clinch the record. He has to keep scoring and stay healthy. But, with the Capitals looking likely to clinch a playoff spot early this season, I think they can really turn attention to feeding Ovi when it matters down the stretch.

Other Ovechkin Goal Record Props

Method of Ovechkin's 895th Career Goal
 Odds
Even Strength-215
Powerplay+162
Shorthanded+6000

Odds as of March 27th at Sportsbook

For his career, 36.2% of Ovechkin's goals have come on the powerplay and 63.2% have come on at even strength. This season, just 20.6% of his goals have come on the man advantage, though.

So, with these +162 odds on a powerplay goal for 895 suggesting a 38% shot, I think even strength is the way to go. The -215 odds there (66% implied) are much more in line with the likely reality.

Sportsbook 

Will Ovechkin's 895th career goal be an Empty Netter? 
 Odds
Yes+350
No-530

Odds as of March 27th at Sportsbook

Player To Assist On Ovi's 895th career goal? 
 Odds
Dylan Strome-140
Aliaksei Protas+310
John Carlson+400
Tom Wilson+520
Martin Fehervary+560
Jakob Chychrun+750
Matt Roy+750
Pierre-Luc Dubois+1000

Odds as of March 27th at Sportsbook

What Team Will Ovechkin Score 895th Goal Against?
 Odds
Blue Jackets-120
Islanders+140
Hurricanes+260
Penguins+300
Blackhawks+650
Bruins+3100

Odds as of March 27th at Sportsbook

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