The WNBA playoffs are here and after clinching the No.1-seed the New York Liberty are -220 betting favorites to win in our 2024 WNBA championship odds. The Liberty are currently holding a 2-0 lead in the second round over the Las Vegas Aces, who are eyeing a three-peat.
2024 wNBA Championship odds
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| New York Liberty | -220 |
| Minnesota Lynx | +490 |
| Connecticut Sun | +700 |
| Las Vegas Aces | +950 |
Odds as of October 4, 2024
2024 WNBA Champions Picks & Best Bets
Here's the analysis for the top of the oddsboard, including a value pick!
New York Liberty (+125)
For the first time since 2007, New York kicked off the season 4-0. The Liberty dropped eight meetings all regular season, but fell in two of their last three outings. Though, I think the ladies were taking it easy after already clinching a top-seed in the playoffs.
I wouldn't be concerned about New York's capabilities against strong opponents. Since returning from the Olympic break in August, the Liberty have pulled off some notable wins against Las Vegas and Seattle -- two teams it could potentially meet through the postseason bracket.
New York, standing tall at the top of the league, leans on Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu. Both ladies averaged over 32 minutes a game in the regular season, with Stewart dropping 20.4 PPG. We're all aware of what Ionescu (18.2 PPG) is known for, averaging 2.8 three-pointers per game (ranked fourth). The 26-year-old is at the helm of the Liberty's league-leading 10.17 3PT a game.
With four ladies in the double-digit point average, the league's second-best offense (85.6 PPG) and a top-three defense (76.8 PPG) it's hard not to believe the Liberty will be another tough contender this WNBA postseason, eager to snatch the title after falling in the championship round last year.
las Vegas Aces (+950)
The Las Vegas Aces are aiming for a three-peat this season and regardless of its fourth-seed placement -- should not be discounted. Last year, the Aces dropped a single matchup in the postseason and were barely threatened all year, finishing with a 34-6 record. Though, we've seen Las Vegas look sloppy this season, I know they can handle the pressure and stamina of a playoff run.
It's been tough to overcome the Liberty at Barclays Centre, dropping the first two matchups of the series. However, the losses were decided by 10-points or fewer.
Offensively, it's a lethal lineup when you have to face A'ja Wilson (26.9 PPG), last season's finals MVP and this year's top point scorer, Kelsey Plum (17.8 PPG) and Jackie Young (15.8 PPG).
But, the defense is what failed them majority of the year, at once allowing the second-worst 36.3% from the perimeter. Though, it seems Las Vegas worked out major kinks in the latter half of the season, going 9-0-1 ATS to close out the regular season.
Minnesota Lynx (+490)
If you're a firm believer that defense is what wins championships, then hammer Minnesota's friendly odds. The Lynx have their zone locked down like Fort Knox.
Trying to snag some three-pointers? Good luck as Minnesota allows the lowest percentage clocking in at 30.4%. To top it all off, the Lynx allows the lowest 41% from the field and 18.6 assists per game. Since returning from the break, nine of their 13 were wins decided by 10 points or more.
Missing a bit of the season due plantar fascia pain in her left foot, Napheesa Collier took the Olympic break to heal. Now, the 27-year-old continues her career season, recording 20.4 PPG to sit fourth-best in the WNBA among some elite company.
Minnesota has an easier route through the bracket, facing Phoenix to tip things off. The Lynx took the regular season series, 3-1 SU.
Last 10 WNBA Champions
| Year | Champion | Series Final | Runner-Up |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Las Vegas Aces | 3-1 | New York Liberty |
| 2022 | Las Vegas Aces | 3-1 | Connecticut Sun |
| 2021 | Chicago Sky | 3-1 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2020 | Seattle Storm | 3-0 | Las Vegas Aces |
| 2019 | Washington Mystics | 3-2 | Connecticut Sun |
| 2018 | Seattle Storm | 3-0 | Washington Mystics |
| 2017 | Minnesota Lynx | 3-2 | Los Angeles Sparks |
| 2016 | Los Angeles Sparks | 3-2 | Minnesota Lynx |
| 2015 | Minnesota Lynx | 3-2 | Indiana Fever |
| 2014 | Phoenix Mercury | 3-0 | Chicago Sky |
Over 26 seasons, the Minnesota Lynx, Houston Comets, and Seattle Storm each have four championships to tie for the most in the league. Four other franchises have won the title multiple times: the Los Angeles Sparks (3), Phoenix Mercury (3), Dallas Wings (3) and Las Vegas Aces (2).
How To Read WNBA Championship Odds
At an online sportsbook that would list WNBA championship odds, they would look similar to this:
- Las Vegas Aces -250
- Chicago Sky +330
- Connecticut Sun +500
The minus sign (-) indicates which team is the favorite. In this case, it’s the Las Vegas Aces at -250. Every other team that’s listed is considered an underdog.
If you believe the Aces will win the WNBA championship and you bet $100 and it happens, you would win $140 – your $100 is returned and you would gain $40 in profit.
Check out our Odds Calculator to see how much you’d win based on the odds and amount wagered.
