Aces

2025 WNBA Championship Odds: Aces Favored & Lead Finals Vs Mercury

The WNBA playoffs are nearly over, and the Las Vegas Aces are the -375 favorites to win the 2025 WNBA Championship at FanDuel, leading the title series vs. the Phoenix Mercury, 2-0.

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2025 wNBA Championship odds 

Odds to Win the 2025 WNBA Championship
TeamOdds
Las Vegas Aces-375
Phoenix Mercury+300

Odds as of October 7, 2025 at FanDuel

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las vegas aces favored to win 2025 wNBA Championship

The Aces are hungry to reclaim the championship that was theirs in 2022 and 2023. While Minnesota and New York opened the postseason as favorites, Las Vegas’ playoff performance has quickly pushed them back into the spotlight and the championship series.

Despite being overlooked for much of the year, ranking outside the top five in both scoring defense (80.3 PAPG) and offense (83.6 PPG), the Aces’ three-point shooting (35.1%, third-best in the league) has remained their most dangerous weapon.

Las Vegas is averaging 87.6 PPG in the playoffs. After dropping the opener to Indiana, they responded, winning the next two games by double digits. The Aces are playing with grit, responding to a couple of losses with a dub, grinding out a one-point victory and staying disciplined for an overtime win to eliminate the Indiana Fever. They're clearly taking whatever is being thrown at them.

A’ja Wilson continues to lead the pack, putting up 26 PPG this postseason, while Jackie Young has been a key secondary option, highlighted by her 32-point outing in Game 5 of the semi-finals and a 20.5 PPG average.

The Aces went 3-1 SU/ATS vs. the Mercury in the regular season, though they're currently on a three-game streak as the lone loss came back in June. Notably, three of the meetings were decided by six-points or fewer.

They kicked off the series with an 89-86 win followed by a more commanding 91-78 Game 2 finish in Las Vegas. The next two meetings will be held in Phoenix.

Last 10 WNBA Champions

WNBA Champions Of Last Decade
YearChampionSeries FinalRunner-Up
2024New York Liberty3-2Minnesota Lynx
2023Las Vegas Aces3-1New York Liberty
2022Las Vegas Aces3-1Connecticut Sun
2021Chicago Sky3-1Phoenix Mercury
2020Seattle Storm3-0Las Vegas Aces
2019Washington Mystics3-2Connecticut Sun
2018Seattle Storm3-0Washington Mystics
2017Minnesota Lynx3-2Los Angeles Sparks
2016Los Angeles Sparks3-2Minnesota Lynx
2015Minnesota Lynx3-2Indiana Fever

 

Over 26 seasons, the Minnesota Lynx, Houston Comets, and Seattle Storm each have four championships to tie for the most in the league. Four other franchises have won the title multiple times: the Los Angeles Sparks (3), Phoenix Mercury (3), Dallas Wings (3) and Las Vegas Aces (2).

How To Read WNBA Championship Odds

At an online sportsbook that would list WNBA championship odds, they would look similar to this:

  • Las Vegas Aces -250
  • Chicago Sky +330
  • Connecticut Sun +500

The minus sign (-) indicates which team is the favorite. In this case, it’s the Las Vegas Aces at -250. Every other team that’s listed is considered an underdog.

If you believe the Aces will win the WNBA championship and you bet $100 and it happens, you would win $140 – your $100 is returned and you would gain $40 in profit.

Check out our Odds Calculator to see how much you’d win based on the odds and amount wagered.

WNBA Championship Odds FAQ

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