Canadian football continues and I've got CFL picks for Week 5. Join me all season long as I deep dive into every game to give you my weekly CFL expert picks.
Current Record: 7-8 (-2.36 Units)
CFL Week 5 schedule & odds
| Date | Favored Team | Point Spread Odds | Underdog Team | OVER/UNDER |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thurs. July 4th, 9 PM ET | Toronto Argonauts | -4.5 (-105) | Saskatchewan Roughriders | 48 (-110) |
| Fri. July 5th, 8:30 PM ET | Winnipeg Blue Bombers | -2.5 (-118) | Ottawa REDBLACKS | 46 (-110) |
| Sat. July 6th, 7:00 PM ET | Montreal Alouettes | -9.0 (-112) | Calgary Stampeders | 50 (-110) |
| Sun. July 7th, 7:00 PM ET | BC Lions | -5.5 (-112) | Hamilton Tiger-Cats | 53 (-110) |
CFL Picks for week 5
Week 5 highlights two teams looking to maintain spotless records while three others are eagerly playing reach the win column. Here are all my picks:
toronto argonauts vs saskatchewan roughriders: argos -4.5 (-105)
Sparkling with an undefeated record and already earning half of the wins they collected last season, Saskatchewan (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS) has hit a roadblock.
Coming off a bye week, the Roughriders have placed starting quarterback Trevor Harris on the injured list. With an MCL injury to his left knee, the 38-year-old is expected to be sidelines for at least six games.
Toronto (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) just lost its undefeated record to Montreal last week. But, as we are aware, that's a tough group to beat. Cameron Dukes is still showing to be a promising replacement behind the line of scrimmage, completing a league-high 76.3% of his passes for five touchdowns.
RB Ka'Deem Carey may run into some issues as the Riders allow a league-low 32.7 YPG on the ground. But, that stays pretty one dimensional as they also allow the second-most 337 passing yards per game.
Having not kicked off a season 4-0 since 2013, the Riders are going to falter without their QB to lead their top offense.
ottawa REDBLACKS vs winnipeg blue bombers: UNDER 46 (-110)
Ottawa (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) already has a win against Winnipeg (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS) under its belt. In fact, that Week 2 victory was the one to prove that the Bomber's season-opener upset wasn't a fluke.
Last week, QB Zach Collaros, who has yet to record a touchdown this season, was taken out of the game for precautionary measures after taking a hit. But, that's not all. Winnipeg will enter its second-straight week without star receiver, Dalton Schoen. There's still a stout receiving room with Nic Demski (233 YDs) and Drew Wolitarsky (194 YDs).
Get well soon, 8️⃣3️⃣ ☃️
— CFL (@CFL) June 28, 2024
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All four of Winnpeg's matchups this season have hit the UNDER. Plus, sitting side-by-side at the bottom for scoring offense and average yards per game, I'm not expecting much scoring success for this matchup.
Calgary stampeders vs montreal alouettes: alouettes -9.0 (-112)
According to our CFL database, this is just the third time since 2016 that Calgary (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) are regular season underdogs of 9.5-points or higher. In the two meetings prior, the Stamps covered the hefty spreads.
In their last two meetings, Calgary has yet to piece together more than 22-points. I suspect that total will be even lower against the Alouettes brute defense that allows just 18.3 PPG. Montreal (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) has yet to allow an opponent more than 21-points this year.
With Calgary earning just five touchdowns this season and Montreal only allowing two passing touchdowns all season, I sense a pretty easy shutout by the Als.
BC Lions vs hamilton tiger-Cats: Lions -5.5 (-108)
Hamilton (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS) is one of the teams that remains winless. A measly two-points got in the way of the Ticats clinching their first win last week. BC (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) is in the same boat, just snagging a three-point victory on Canada Weekend.
WALKIN' IT OFF ‼️ @SeanWhyte6 seals the deal for the @BCLions from 42 yards! #CFLGameDay: LIVE on TSN
— CFL (@CFL) June 28, 2024
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Offensively, it's a comparable matchup. The Lions (408.3 YPG) and the Ticats (390.5 YPG) earned the most average yardage this season. Similarly, they each know how to get down the field, with BC (91) and Hamilton (86) recording the most first downs. Defense will come into play, though. The Ticats rank at the bottom, allowing 31.3 PPG.
How To Bet On CFL Betting Odds:
While you can bet on spreads and point totals, one of the easiest ways to bet on CFL betting odds is through a moneyline. This moneyline bet means you simply pick which side you think will win between the favorite (signaled with a minus sign) and the underdog (signaled with a plus sign).
A CFL moneyline of +200 means that you would win $200 on a successful $100 wager. That’s also equivalent to fractional odds of 2/1, decimal odds of 3.00 and implied odds of 33.33%. A negative moneyline of -200 means that you would have to wager $200 in order to win $100 on the favorite.
